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Did Gann Die Poor Or Not?
http://www.aeroinvest.com/chart%20Gallery/index.html -
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Predicting randomness
Another good example is Spydertrader's first trading journal. He trades within a distinctive framework. He has no idea whether or not the trade will work. "The holy grail to trading is consistency", to borrow someone else's words. Prediction is a prescription to poverty... -
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Predicting randomness
No, not frustrated. After looking to eliminate inconsistencies in indicators, I turned to number theory. Shortly after that, I recognized that the market is a random animal. This is why marketsurfer has his Gann channels. He trades a random entity within a framework. The framework is... -
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Predicting randomness
Question, if a MACD can show divergence on a RANDOM price series, how valuable is the predictive value? Does this work on the "hard right edge"? -
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Timing Market Turns
W.B. Busin This jumped out at me.... It appears to be regaining its 45 degree angle trajectory/path. Are you a Gann Trader? Best Regards Oddi -
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too much emphasis on defense in trading
Oooooo.....this be a good post! -
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too much emphasis on defense in trading
Yes, I believe that to score points the offense has be on the field longer than the defense. This would suggest being in the market most of the time, no? -
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Predicting randomness
Can you elaborate on noise? Is noise what makes the markets appear randomized? -
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Predicting randomness
It is interesting that you bothered to post to this pathetic thread, which means that it must attack one of your sacred cows. The intent of the thread is for traders to weigh in on the subject. Thus far, it has been a fascinating read. Have you played kjents game, or tried the... -
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Predicting randomness
Now, this is why I start these types of threads, to get these kinds of posts. This would effectively destroy TWO trading camps. TA and Random Walks. Is the conclusion to be a discretionary trader with system parameters? We must out think the machines:( -
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Predicting randomness
"people, having different needs, different views, different utility and risk-profiles." And this is predictable? Is there any evidence that this is predictable? -
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Predicting randomness
Insider trading has an element of non randomness, but this is largely an anamoly. Stock prices are not rational, as thier P/E is not 1:1. So if that insider keeps buying without without insider knowledge, he will most likely return those gains he made with inside information. -
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Predicting randomness
Can the WEATHER influence market behavior? http://www.davidmcminn.com/pages/inefficient.htm -
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Predicting randomness
One last question to the readers and participants of this thread. There were 10000 views, 43 pages, and 200+ replies. As one poster put it, this discussion is as polarized as abortion or God. Why do you suppose this issue is so pertinent among traders? -
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Predicting randomness
Well put, and therein lies the difference between philosophy, and reality. In the LTCM show I saw on NOVA, there was a man who a trader will recognize as a Gann trader. He was an older gentleman, and had hand drawn charts that I recognized as the squaring of price and time. He had his hand... -
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Predicting randomness
Yes, I know, but the discussion evolved in this direction, so I put up an informational article. I think trends only exist after they have occured. Sure I may have a bias towards being long or short, but just because the market has gone up for 5 days does not mean that that it will go up a... -
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Predicting randomness
An article about black swans. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/blackswan.pdf -
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Predicting randomness
You're welcome Nik. You gave a lot to think about.