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AMD has been having a hard time for quite a while now: http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/financials/fi-126.1.AMD.NAS and Zack's recently added AMD to it's strong sell list: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/heres-why-amd-zacks-rank-220310719.html The stock's performance compared to the...

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/sherwin-williams-valspar-11-3b-211809966.html http://news.morningstar.com/articlenet/article.aspx?id=746546&SR=Yahoo http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=val New Trade: With VAL at 106.87 Oct 100/95 bull put spread for a net credit of $35 Yield = 35/465 = 7.5% in 197...

Actually Zacks had an article today on the Brussels attacks and the airlines: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/airline-stock-roundup-brussels-attacks-141602303.html

Paris and Brussels are not super-big Delta destinations...but what would happen to Delta stock if they bombed Atlanta airport?? As has been recently pointed out it's so easy to do... just put a big bomb in a big suitcase and wheel it into the departure lounge. Atlanta is the busiest airport in...

http://www.thestreet.com/story/13511136/1/delta-air-dal-stock-jumps-as-stephens-sees-potential-35-upside.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/financials/fi-126.1.DAL.NYS...

http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2016/03/22/citigroup-wisdomtrees-stock-will-fall-42-in-12-months/?mod=BOL_hp_blog_fof http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=WETF+Key+Statistics http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=wetf Trade: With WETF at 12.07 Jan '17 16.75/21.75 bear call spread for a net credit...

What analysts are saying: http://fortune.com/2016/03/22/apple-loop-event-analysts/?xid=yahoo_fortune The Street: http://www.thestreet.com/story/13502517/1/apple-goes-down-memory-lane-with-iphone-se-but-can-it-bring-back-sales.html Cramer: "own Apple...don't trade it". Probably good advice...

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/sherwin-williams-company-acquire-valspar-170000400.html Purchase price is 113 cash. Expected to close Jan '17 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=val Trade: VAL closed at 103.22 Oct 100/105 bull call spread for a net debit of $295 Price........... Profit /...

Zacks is 'underwhelmed' by the AAPL announcements. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumers-investors-saying-todays-apple-223610913.html So is the market: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=aapl

Thanks for your contribution.

"of course we don't know that the distribution will be in the future" Yes you are right. That's why I say I am not using 'probability' in the 'colloquial sense'. In my posts the future probability (in the colloquial sense) is much more indicated by the news references I quote than in...

" is it from the moneyness of the 140 Call" No. It is simply from the log normal price distribution. i.e. it shows where the spread falls in terms of recent pricing. I don't use the probability in the colloquial sense but strictly as a locator of the trade in terms of recent price activity...

I have used collective2 in the past (quite a while ago) and have a positive impression.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/4-reasons-to-sell-apple-shares-2016-03-18?siteid=yhoof2 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=AAPL+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=AAPL+Interactive#{"range":"2y","allowChartStacking":true} Trade: Jan '17 140/145 bear call spread for a net credit of...

filled at $60 yield = 60/440 = 13.6% in 308 days or 16% annualized Actually I don't like iron condors...too many options...they fill up your position display. Also I don't much like how quickly it filled. Somebody was real glad to take that trade...

Actually I don't post here for the peanut gallery. I use this space as a scratch pad for the initial trade set up. It's useful to me for that purpose. Many people have told me that they find my initial musings useful in terms of bringing to their attention a trade POSSIBILITY. As an actual...

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oracle-tops-3q-profit-forecasts-200853318.html http://www.forbes.com/sites/laurengensler/2016/03/15/oracle-third-quarter-earnings/?utm_campaign=yahootix&partner=yahootix#83bfc5d9d5d6...

http://www.constitution.org/col/blind_men.htm

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bear-day-viacom-viab-130101795.html http://www.thestreet.com/story/13481566/1/viacom-viab-stock-price-target-cut-at-credit-suisse.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/financials/fi-126.1.VIAB.NAS...

http://247wallst.com/retail/2016/03/13/why-analysts-became-much-more-bullish-on-dollar-general/ http://www.thestreet.com/story/13491827/1/dollar-general-dg-price-target-upped-at-jefferies.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=DG+Key+Statistics...