Search results

  1. Sergio123

    Trend Following Strategies

    I am phasing out most of my indicators and going with predicticators instead. But the one type of indicator that I will use are thermal heatmaps of the fractal energy of the volatility. This is the heatmap image of the 1 year daily on the Russell 2000. I am waiting for a yellow/red streaks to...
  2. Sergio123

    Wheat Futures Price Action

    I don't know much about wheat or farming, and I am not interested in trading it. I am just applying my tools to the chart. But I would think that demand is inelastic no matter the economy. Scarcity caused by a war or a bad crop season could only make it go higher but an over abundant supply...
  3. Sergio123

    Trading is gambling- Only if you make it gambling

    Everything that you do in life is a gamble. There is a probability that you die in a wreck on the interstate every time that you drive your car. You could just have a long-term investor outlook, and just focus on your job and family, and save and contribute to your 401K retirement plan but...
  4. Sergio123

    Wheat Futures Price Action

    The predicticator on the daily says Up. The predictiator on lower timeframes says neutral. The predicted price target to reach the default 70 Overbought level on the 14-Day RSI (Wilders) - which uses a backsolver method - is currently at: 681.35.
  5. Sergio123

    How inflation can re-emerge

    Lot of people confuse robots and AI. Currently, robotics technology is still very much relegated to performing dedicated tasks. Someday we will get autonomous droids with AI brains but its at least a few more decades before they can operate commercial businesses.
  6. Sergio123

    Best and easiest strategy for consistent profits?

    Better hurry before we go into recession and the labor market loosens and AI comes and takes all the jobs away. Getting into the skilled trades would be the best bet.
  7. Sergio123

    How inflation can re-emerge

    You don't want them to make money for coming over to your house or working at an auto shop while you sit on your ass staring at a chart all day? AI won't be able to do physical labor anytime soon.
  8. Sergio123

    How inflation can re-emerge

    Oil hits every layer of the physical supply chain. There will be inflation as part of the easing is political for investments into renewables.
  9. Sergio123

    Best and easiest strategy for consistent profits?

    You might want to take a look at TQQQ, SOXL,TNA, or TZA and see if you get more bang for your buck. They trade at a lower prices in case you are worried about early assignment and are triple leveraged - so more volatility. The options on them are liquid.
  10. Sergio123

    Best and easiest strategy for consistent profits?

    You could turn a few tricks over on Kensington Ave. J/K....This market is too low IV for me. I am picking and choosing my opportunities like VIXperations. I am not sure how many more we are going to get. Its the Santa Claus rally time.
  11. Sergio123

    Trend Following Strategies

    On 10/6 or 11/2 or both? 10/6, 11/2, 8/21 would've all looked the same. A complete trend following system needs to account for trends that don't materialize before going back down too. But using the curvature of the MA's might help. If I had to rank trend strength at the current time I would...
  12. Sergio123

    Trend Following Strategies

    I don't believe in relying purely on mechanical strategies. The market has been trending higher for 2 months. It's overbought. A mechanical strategy may have gotten you shaken out on Wednesday afternoon. Figure out a good time to exit based upon seasonality, and tax considerations. Think like...
  13. Sergio123

    Trend Following Strategies

    You are a swing trader. Moving averages are all that you really need. Once you get bored then you can develop more complex tools. I am using all kinds of different tools: ATR, Volatility Bands, Laguerre, Gaussian Fractal Energy, etc.. Speaking for myself, it isn't a waste of of time. It gives me...
  14. Sergio123

    Trend Following Strategies

    Add a moving average indicator on your chart. 50, 100, 200 period are quite common. Exit when the price crosses below the moving average.
  15. Sergio123

    2024 Stock Picks

    I am going to add AA, CLF, and FCX to the list. The metal miners become essential for renewable energy. I expect it to be hot button issue in the upcoming election year.
  16. Sergio123

    Poll: How often do you reoptimize ?

    I just started trading on a real platform this year, but I optimize the toolsets to keep up with the latest technology and codebase. Stocks will go up and go down. The RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, etc. have been around for decades. Your knowledge, experience and tools that you use to trade...
  17. Sergio123

    2024 Stock Picks

    My picks: PLUG ENPH XOM PYPL
  18. Sergio123

    Options Trading Is Rigged Against Average Investors; Payment for order flow allows brokerages and b

    They probably went on a stop loss hunt yesterday afternoon . Lol. I took the opportunity to sell puts because I am running low on shares.
  19. Sergio123

    Is classical Trend Following still alive?

    Zoom out 30 years and the market shows clear uptrends, downtrends, and a cliff drop from August 2008-March 2009. I am wondering if any trend following strategy would beat a simple get in and get out moving average crossover strategy that anyone could do.
  20. Sergio123

    Nippon Steel to Acquire U.S. Steel for $14.1 Billion

    What happens to your open options positions when this happens?
Back
Top