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  1. M

    Would hyper inflation kill stocks?

    Sure thing, for certain people bigger issues, such as shortage of gray matter, loom much larger...
  2. M

    ESH9 MAR 09 785C, contract not supported in IB?

    Maybe 'cos it's expiry day for H9?
  3. M

    Why we haven't hit the bottom: Alt-A and Option ARM Mortgage Resets are coming

    Thx for the great summary, slapshot, and I am in agreement with you. It's all about collateral or, rather, lack thereof.
  4. M

    Interesting: Krugman gets into fisticuffs...

    And not with just anybody... We be talking about the Italian Stallion on the ECB board, Lorenzo Bini-Smaghi himself. Here's the original article by Krugman: http://www.iht.com/articles/2009/03/16/opinion/edkrugman.php The response from Lorenzo...
  5. M

    Eurozone news, here we go...

    Or what about the Irish rugby team being forced to move to and play for Germany? Brian O'Driscoll and Ronan O'Gara get brand spanking new German names and Germany, at long last, wins the Six Nations. Imagine that...
  6. M

    Would hyper inflation kill stocks?

    Dude, send me a PM and I'll send you smth that you may find interesting (or you may not).
  7. M

    What will Fed buying look like?

    Agreed, the one thing that people seem to happily disregard is that the politicians' incentives are even more mis-aligned than those of a worst bankster out there, so to entrust economic policy to them is suicide. However, it's the new reality. And someone mentioned the independence of the...
  8. M

    Weavering Capital collapses over 637 million derivatives position

    Wrong button? I'd suggest this wasn't a 'fat finger'... Come on, it's someone putting on a trade with themselves and then marking it in their favor on both sides. Works wonders until it gets found out... Those sneaky Scandies :)!
  9. M

    Eurozone news, here we go...

    Anybody have any interesting ideas for what sorts of conditions Germany can impose on Ireland? Candidates: 1) Ireland must convert to German as their national language. 2) Guinness must be immediately outlawed and the benighted populace must be forced to enjoy the crisp, refreshing taste of...
  10. M

    Eurozone news, here we go...

    07:53 20Mar09 -EURO ZONE STATES HAVE PLAN TO RESCUE ANY MEMBERS AT RISK OF BANKRUPTCY - SENIOR MP IN MERKEL'S CDU 07:53 20Mar09 -EURO ZONE WILL NOT LET ANY OF ITS MEMBERS GO BANKRUPT - LAWMAKER 07:53 20Mar09 -CHANCES RESCUE PLAN WILL HAVE TO BE USED GREATER THAN CHANCES IT WON'T - LAWMAKER...
  11. M

    Would hyper inflation kill stocks?

    Just look at what the stock mkt did during the periods of past high inflation and you will have some of the answer In general, stocks have not been too bad of a hedge against inflation due to the pricing power of firms. In fact, in the world where the value of nominal cash you're paid goes...
  12. M

    Any FOREX retail traders still alive after 3/18

    Possible, indeed, but the political dynamic is becoming tres complicated. Imagine if you're the Chinese, you got a whole lotsa USTs and there's a bullet bid out there. There's truly a possibility that (unless, of course, this was all properly arranged with them) the Fed really does run into a...
  13. M

    U.N. panel says world should ditch dollar

    Hahaha, that is a VERY good point :)!
  14. M

    Fed buying treasuries question-----???

    Yep, TALF and TALF II are another $1trn. Come on, what's a $trn among friends?
  15. M

    Bond Trader 2009 - War Stories for 18 March 2009

    OTC vol's getting properly mudered today, not sure about exchange. Someone's sure selling in size here.
  16. M

    Any FOREX retail traders still alive after 3/18

    Yep, was reading something today along these lines, which suggested that, almost by construction, the rest of the world is massively long downside gamma on USD. Basically, the argument goes that if you have lots of external USD-denominated debt, every time the dollar falls you have less real...
  17. M

    Fed buying treasuries question-----???

    BLSH, while I agree with some of your views, pls get your facts correct. They're buying $300bn of USTs, $750bn of agency MBS and $100bn of GSE debt. Agency MBS is a very different story from the sorts of distressed assets they're talking about for TALF. Pls don't mix these up, they're...
  18. M

    Any FOREX retail traders still alive after 3/18

    Agreed... Did that this morning (vs Aussie and gold) and doin' well so far. Wondering when the spanking of the poor USD pauses and who the next late party entrant is gonna be. Might be SEK and, gasp, possibly EUR?
  19. M

    Bond Trader 2009 - War Stories for 18 March 2009

    I think they not only expected the curve to move the way it did, they really wanted it to happen. The monetary policy value of shocking the market has been demonstrated by both the SNB and the BoE. The Fed wanted to take the market by surprise and they did it. However, it's important to not...
  20. M

    Bond Trader 2009 - War Stories for 18 March 2009

    Caveat emptor, amico... At any rate, the Chinese curse has come true and we're living in interesting times, indeed. All sorts of bad things are happening to all sorts of people, some of them completely innocent.
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