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  1. ph1l

    Dividend Stock Tool

    This might help https://www.barchart.com/options/iv-rank-percentile/stocks
  2. ph1l

    How do market makers make money?

    Yes. Videos take effort to watch, and people don't always watch them.
  3. ph1l

    How do market makers make money?

    Which one of these do you think SurthesAmy is? :)
  4. ph1l

    So it turns out Tether only holds 3% cash, the rest IOUs etc.

    Details are in https://www.coindesk.com/tether-first-reserve-composition-report-usdt Money in commercial paper and fiduciary deposits (bank deposits) are generally fairly low risk. https://www.moneyrates.com/investment/commercial-paper.htm My concern is Tether appears unregulated, so they...
  5. ph1l

    Men in black hurl 1,000 roaches during Taipei police chief banquet

    http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-03/26/c_137067148.htm
  6. ph1l

    Bitcoin has topped.

    It's not a polynomial fit (see post immediately above yours). And the curve would need to be refitted often to make it useful for trading (e.g., every bar). Here is a polynomial, least squares fit on the same data. And here is the same polynomial fit extrapolated 21 days. Maybe that will...
  7. ph1l

    Bitcoin has topped.

    It may look like a polynomial fit, but the functions for each model have a combination of a parabola plus three cosine waves. It's easy to see that from the (somewhat) readable code. y = ((((25869.4 + (768.416 * x)) + (-4.60808 * (x * x))) + (4610.53 * cos ((0.216499 * x) + 5.74516))) +...
  8. ph1l

    Bitcoin has topped.

    Here is a graph with: the past 123 calendar days from yahoo finance data for the close prices of BTC-USD (I think the prices are for just before midnight in London -- 12 AM GMT or 12 AM BST). curves of 10 models each fit to the prices with a trend plus cycles and extrapolated for 21 days. The...
  9. ph1l

    It is official Tether is a fraud

    It's also supposedly good for white-collar crimes like money laundering and ransomware. That could keep its popularity up and support speculation by traders/investors.
  10. ph1l

    Double Top on the Nasdaq ??? Sure looks like it

    Using the last 121 calendar days of QQQ close prices adjusted for dividends and prices interpolated for non-trading days, I ran software to fit the data by combining a trend plus cycles for 10 models. The models predict QQQ will start an uptrend soon. The + signs are the prices, and the curved...
  11. ph1l

    Question about lawsuit for broker

    Silver is not very liquid overnight, so a default order time of regular trading hours might not be a bad idea.
  12. ph1l

    Would you do Cathy Woods?

    She looks like she's ready for some lovin'. Or did you mean Cathie Wood?:)
  13. ph1l

    Question about lawsuit for broker

    I assumed since it's a self-directed account, you execute the trades through the broker's platform. So that makes you responsible even if the broker's representative didn't make the order clear to you. If you had a broker-assisted account, the broker would execute the trades and would be...
  14. ph1l

    Question about lawsuit for broker

    Unless the broker's software failed in some way (and possibly even if it did), you are 100% responsible for not setting the stop order properly.
  15. ph1l

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    :)
  16. ph1l

    Joe Biden - The Fake President

    Is it time to remove "freedom of the press" from the Constitution?:) https://nypost.com/2021/05/11/wh-reporters-fume-over-biden-admins-media-policy-report/
  17. ph1l

    Ridin' with Biden

    :D
  18. ph1l

    California scores staggering $75B budget surplus

    Texas and Florida have balanced budgets. That doesn't mean they are well-managed, of course. https://ballotpedia.org/Texas_state_budget_and_finances https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_state_budget_and_finances
  19. ph1l

    Genetic Programming / Symbolic Regression Model Experiments

    I did some backtesting with a slightly different form of generated function for iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM), SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) in periods EEM 20040907 20070131 EEM 20140908 20170126 GLD 20180108 20200528 IWM 20010508...
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