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  1. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    My prediction calls for 2 % on the high print. 5585. But the path there may be tricky... I just figure that if we do hit 5585 they may just squeeze it another 15 points while they're at it.
  2. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Big picture, SPX is back above the monthly Open here. Leaving a huge wick behind. Definitely bit of an outlier move so far this week, but we have had like 50 or so that's even bigger on the week since 2005. So, nothing we haven't seen before. :)
  3. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    5600 would be the ultimate 'what the fuck is going on' print into the Close. Tomorrow is monthly op-ex.
  4. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    I did a 'temperature read' at 13:15 which I posted elsewhere at the time: ES currently up bigly at 13:15 with the prior day being green. 67 % of the sample (85 days) saw new highs by the Close. Only 5 % saw new lows. 65 % of the sample saw new highs in the last 2 hours. 39 % in the last 30...
  5. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    This type of day usually tops out late in the day. I don't think this 'double tops'.
  6. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Need to get out of this range soon. If not it's likely a choppy late session like yesterday that doesn't really go anywhere... Still fancy 5580 if we get moving.
  7. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    You may have caught the generational dip of a lifetime. :)
  8. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    I stand corrected. ES 2 % is 5585. 5580 for conservative measures. :) Until someone sells this, it's one sweet and beautiful up trend day. With ES 2 % at 5585, I honestly don't see why it can't go as high as 5600 today.
  9. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    This revovery probably caught a ton of players by surprise. Add in a bit of FOMO from fund managers who missed it and CTAs probably switching long and this move is perfectly rational. :)
  10. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Holy f**k. You do this always? Been doing the same this summer when volatility spiked, but getting back to normal hours soon. The Asia session (night time in Norway) is usually shit anyway. There was a guy in another thread who said he slept with headphones on giving him price ticks in form of...
  11. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Days like today usually hit 2 % on the high. Possibly more. That's 5580 ES. Still 30 points to go if so...
  12. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Well, I'd love an easy continuation from here, Baby-V. Just seen enough that I think the long side warrants some caution at this point. Even if higher - maybe not by much. Then again, it's a pretty strong trend at this point and euphoria seems to be back, so who knows if this just won't...
  13. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Did @v-shape-0DTE hack your account or infect you somehow? LOL. ES up 0.30 %. NQ up 0.03 %. Basically unchanged on NQ. I figure weakness in NQ killed the rally today, but I may be wrong. My call earlier was for a rally into CPI and continuation if the number was good. Got the latter, but not...
  14. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Had to look up my spreadsheets to check. The best day that week was 2.4 times that losing day and the other days were green, too. You can choose to believe it or not. Still not sure what your point is and starting to wonder if you have some type of issue at this point. I'm a lonely retail...
  15. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    ES still looking healthy for a pop to me, but NQ weakness is a concern here. Then again, I'm no expert on that one. I know it can tend to overshoot and look pretty weak just before it reverses hard on you... ES should close above 70 today.
  16. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Haha. Probably not today, though. I'm happy if I can get 75-80 on any longs from here. Would need a monster bid on NQ for new highs.
  17. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Looks like NQ killed the rally. It was showing cracks early on.
  18. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    I only post my wins, right? :) For the record, I'm in a 1.5K drawdown after getting played this morning, but looks like I will land on my feet after all. Maybe it's gambling as Noah suggests, but when I'm wrong, I make sure my size is small and I don't lose much. Since I'm in a drawdown and...
  19. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Well, I got played today. Took a ton of small losses and scratches so far. I don't trust the bull case until we rip out new highs. Until then, this is a range bound mess. Curious if the 'promised' 1 % day can still come, though.
  20. L

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    LOL. We recently saw that this market can be brought down. Looks like another V in play for today, though.
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