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    Warning Signs: Elevated Markets & Bitcoin

    This is how simple trading is - prices are rising so be long: prices are falling so be short. The issue is not whether to buy a parabolic price rise, the issue is does the chart show somewhere to put your stop.
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    Buy the Rumor, sell the News...

    I heard a rumour that someone said there's going to be some news. This is only hearsay but it is true.
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    Older I get, Less I understand... why is market up when Moore lost, rates likely going higher?

    No, price is the only universally accepted fact at any one time in the market, its the only rational characteristic. Value is opinion.
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    Older I get, Less I understand... why is market up when Moore lost, rates likely going higher?

    News headlines and strap-lines create a false association between events and price moves. The word "as" is often a give-away: the journalist associates the two factors mentioned without being able to say they are cause and effect - but the psychological seed is planted. e.g. "Pound slips as...
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    Managing winners

    I trader long-term without TP's. The only time I take profits early is if my whole set of positions has generated such a large sum in unrealised gains that I can bank this as earnings for the whole month. On an individual winning trade, a pyramid order is triggered to replicate the trade when...
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    Curve fitting

    Development of a strategy's rules is good, writing unrealistic rules that could only have been justified by hind-sight is delusional. For example, you take stock long trades triggered by some buy signal. Development would be a filter to disregard buy signals received while the stock's index is...
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    I finally broke down and bought my first crypto

    pekelo's in. Is it too early to sell? Or too late? Or too late to buy?
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    Why is hedging gaining popularity day by day?

    People involved in growing the trading business sector promote the universal use of tactics like hedging etc. under the banner that they all reduce risk. Which they can potentially do but only in very tightly defined circumstances. What these characters actually want to happen is that their...
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    Why is hedging gaining popularity day by day?

    Profit will be zero. Costs will be certain.
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    Is this market really TOO BIG to be POPPED?

    Everyone wants to be a genius caller of market changes. In some ways he's right. But not through some secret TA and genius analytical processes. Just statistics. Firstly, 100% of trends end. But secondly, the least likely way for a trend to end is for it to reverse. The faster and further trends...
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    How to spot a paranoid liberal!

    OK. But just to observe a reason why many non-US people in the world get mixed up over which is left and which is right, Republicans or Democrats, is because in the rest of the world they would be pretty much the same thing.
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    Mentorship (4th year still not profitable)

    Trend-following consistently works.
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    How to spot a paranoid liberal!

    As I said, you can't label someone as automatically e.g. a burglar for the reason that he does not go round saying "I am a burglar". The point about Marxists, Socialists and Communists is they are committed (and proud maybe) to label themselves as such. I don't think Norman Matoon Thomas is...
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    How to spot a paranoid liberal!

    This is just wrong. You can't label a movement as being X on the basis that its supporters don't declare themselves as X-ists. The lack of understanding of what communism is just demonstrates the gulf between actual communism and the possibility of communism in the US. You have nothing to fear...
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    What's the chance of US striking North Korea ?

    Then you're still not correct. For example NATO policy is for the members to provide military support to any member subject to armed attack. This is not limited to nuclear aid only in the event of a nuclear attack. Its easy to argue that the first use of nuclear weapons would be e.g. as the only...
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    How to spot a paranoid liberal!

    We can generalise that its no better being a slave under Communism than it is under Fascism, you're still a slave. But that doesn't mean they're the same. Left doesn't mean communism, right doesn't mean fascism. As for a communist US, where's the electoral support for a Communist presidential...
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    How to spot a paranoid liberal!

    Liberal left maybe. But a communist USA? - not even a remote possibility.
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    What's the chance of US striking North Korea ?

    I don't think its as clear cut as that. US military has intervened in many regions in recent years, despite the absence of strikes against the US homeland in that time. US strikes have certainly not been in kind (and why should they be anyway?). Also what do you mean by recent years? The US-led...
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