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    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    A couple things - of course nothing works EVERY time, and there's enough variation ... 9, 11, 12, .... total fail, sometimes R10 x2 .... so that the markets eventually get to where they need to go. In some ways it can be used as just a point of reference or framework. I look at it as sort of...
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    Probability of Next Trade

    bear I like your way of thinking. I have several strategies that use the "wait for failure" concept. It's all based on results from backtesting. Is there some reason you don't feel comfortable with the backtested results of whatever "wait" strategy you're looking at?
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    Probability of Next Trade

    I would ask the OP the simple question which strategy tests out best (assuming they are all profitable) .... 1) take every trade, 2) trade only after 1 "loss", 3) after 2 "losses", ...etc.
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    Probability of Next Trade

    If all the figures come form the same backtesting, including the 65% probability for each trade, wouldn't the derivative figures be at least in the ballpark over time, unless the whole thing falls apart altogether?
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    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Errr, I always thought the "R" stood for 'rule', as in "Rule of 10". Alternatively, you could think of it as 'range', 'run', or 'reversal' ... all the same concept.
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    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    The R10's have been inSANE lately. I know you go for bigger targets, but I count at least 11 in a row now that have retraced a minimum of +2.00, and some a full 10 handles.
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    Position Sizing: How do you take advantage?

    Now we're getting somewhere. Does "trade environment conditions" for you ever include any statistical bias, or for example things like extraordinary confluence of S/R? I take it these decisions are completely discretionary.
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    Position Sizing: How do you take advantage?

    Yeah, both really. I probably could've thought out the poll options better, but your second definition of position sizing I suppose could fall under option 5 in the poll. Basically I'm interested in people's usage of multiple lots, in addition to the traditional concept of "position sizing".
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    Position Sizing: How do you take advantage?

    Thanks for voting guys. It'd be great if we could get a few more than ten. And feel free to expound a little, maybe say a bit about what led to your current sizing method.
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    $100

    Wow, and your mouth smells so amazingly fresh ... almost as if it'd only been 35 days since you brushed! :D I urge you to speak to any dentist ... they will tell you you need to at least move the bacteria around every 8 hours or so rather than let it sit in one place on the teeth. That is...
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    Position Sizing: How do you take advantage?

    I am interested in seeing how different traders use position sizing as part of their edge. The poll is open ... please weigh in. Thanks. I guess I do a little of all the options listed, but I mostly adjust size with discretion. For instance I'll size up going the other way after a failed...
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    Has InteractiveBrokers (IB) EVER acknowledged and/or fixed an issue you reported?

    IB charts, while slow (by milliseconds) and rife with other problems, are more accurate than Quotetracker, as an example. Sometimes QT bar highs/lows don't match IB's and IB is the correct one as verified by actual fills in my own account. Also they never freeze in chaotic markets, as I've heard...
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    Ban Tea and Coffee for More Important Foods

    I beg to differ with your premise. Green tea is one of the most healthy beverages one can consume. http://www.webmd.com/diet/features/superfoods-everyone-needs
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    What if I get hit by a bus?

    Couldn't you just leave instructions with a trusted loved one (wife, parent, .... Megan Fox, etc. ) to take care of the immediate concern of logging into your accounts and closing positions? Leave the instructions in a safe deposit box in a sealed envelope marked "Only to be opened upon me...
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    OBAMA TO MAKE EMERGENCY STATEMENT @ 10pm EST : FOX NEWS

    So B.L. captured/dead would be good for about what, +20 S&P? ... +50?
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    OBAMA TO MAKE EMERGENCY STATEMENT @ 10pm EST : FOX NEWS

    10:34 ... (crickets) Edit: Statement @ 10:45 according to Wolf Blitzer.
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    SILVERS CRASHING! May 1st Sunday Down 12%

    This may be a dumb question but does anyone know why IB margin for SI remains steady at 12825 and the CME site says 14513? This IB number hasn't changed in weeks as far as I know. http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/p.php?f=margin...
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    SILVERS CRASHING! May 1st Sunday Down 12%

    The volume is certainly nothing spectacular. Somebody is pushing it lower to re-load longs I would think.
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    SILVERS CRASHING! May 1st Sunday Down 12%

    Have no fear, new highs by the end of the week, if not tomorrow. :D
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    Anyone using Windows XP to output 4 monitors?

    I run 5 monitors off 3 Radeon ATI cards in XP and it seems to work fine. I did have an issue recently with one card dying (after 5 years of use) but in finding the solution I gained a monitor (went from 4 to 5). There is a recent thread about it if you care to search my name, but I don't think...
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