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Always ask yourself when you setup a position, someone (with much more experience and 10 times better and advanced than you) are taking the other side. Ask yourself what is the chance you will win in this game ? Not even mention you have to pay your broker and slippage . :( Only trade when...

++1 New Blood ? We should not scare away this new herd, I need blood and not the HFT robot .. :D

Don't forget the slippage.

I know what you want, i won't bite .. :D Nothing to tell :cool:

good observation and good luck. If the world is so simple, all the us here are billionaire

no, much more complicated than this simple theory

Where you get your result from ? Are you talking about long term or only specific years ? Obviously you are getting a good return to short puts in 2009 and 2010, not in 2008 and etc..

Don't try to divert the topic, HFT is an issue but this is not what we discussed here. Hacker and hacking is really a big issue this day, i doubt how many hackers are relentlessly targetting those superrich investor and trader like Soro and Buffet just to "look around" their trading account ?

you will be definitely in the radar if you are making of millions . It is much cheaper to hire hacker to get into your system to steal millions (by looking at your trade or etc) than develop their own trading strategy.

I been told that George is one of the greatest legendary trader in modern history, only after Buffett and Soro?? Am I missing something here?

If you look at overall stocks and not only GM - you still make money. You can't win in each stocks (some will go burst but most will survive and fly). So far I still haven't heard anyone is richer than Mr. Warren, so buy and hold still work (stop telling the bs story of loss decade since 2000..)

10 year from now, those name may fly again for those buy and hold investor. For option trader. ..?

I am sure you are getting this "top trade secret" from some seminar (free or paid) to sell overprice and long underprice options, but the thing that those seminar never tell you is that - NO ONE can tell if the options if over or underprice ! Forget about looking at history IV - This approach is...

RUT Jan11 settlement price = 782.92 not too far away from 780:p

btw- I ride the 800 PUTs Jan11 RUT when it tanked from 804 to 781 and closed it on Thursday evening with a good profits Just wanna to find out what is the settlement price for RUT on Jan11 - my estimation (based on my own methods of prediction) show that it should be very close to 780 ...

My bad, I mean, IWM=78(Thursday close price) RUT=780(settlement price) Have a quick look on IWM, it is really close to 78 on close.

It is a good site.. RUT Jan11 is trending 780 -- MAX PAIN !

RUT future shows that it will open lower (even most indices went up after the job report ?!?) and will be VERY CLOSE to 780

Very Good and thanks It is interesting to find out the Max Pain for IWM from your calculations is 78, which is exactly what I predict as well for RUT. See my other post on"Stock" section in ET(post title-"rut"). Based on my other calculation (sorry can't reveal here the method on how I...

I am right! Both Asia and Europe market move lower, Asia major market close down by more than 1%, Europe market open significant lower. The future for RUT already down several points from last night close. 780 will happen soon!(will be Max Pain for some option retail traders here)