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fleming - any chance you can open your pm or email for a period of time. i just tried to pm you but it wasnt open.

great and yes you are correct in what i am asking. the step between thinking of the idea and then writing the 10 lines of code is a big one. im just speaking for myself, but if i understood where you begin your thought process im guessing it would help me/others in being able to throw some...

where would you start to develop a theory like the system you just wrote about. what made you come together and say "200 day close in 50 percentile and last 15 day 10%" . just curious as to the train of thought to piece those together. why 200 and 15 rather than 300 and 10? im trying to...

this way of trading seems very similar to that stealthtrader pdf file. im not saying that it is talontrader, but would actually like him to look at it to see if he agrees with the way ST outlined how to design a trading plan. sorry if this is off track a bit. anyone have that link? i have...

ok. sounds good. at what point would this strategy be deemed not good any more? if price breaks and holds in a new range and the percentiles are altered because it holds in the new range, what room for loss is acceptable? at some point there are new percentiles to deal with correct?

i may have missed something in the last few posts on this system, but isnt this essentially the same thing as setting up something as simple as bollinger bands on a large timeframe? BB's show when price is inside/outside 95% of the price movement for that period? granted it doesnt address...

good info. will follow

so a trend change should be looked at as the guide on the lower timeframe or just for the change? i managing my trades off the daily and using the structure of the weekly to identify entries. the actual direction of the weekly wasnt a concern. it was the last 6 - 8 months of daily I focus on...

interesting. i guess a million dollar concept is to be able to always be on the right side of the trend, but what areas of the trend are quantifiable? if i am looking at the weekly move off the bottom of the ES since march, my screen time suggests it is not a bottom. when i use the daily, i...

thanks! my thoughts on the trend direction are based on a break of a pivot and last two connecting pivot lows. once i see a close under them, i change direction of stocks i play. if im wrong, ill accept the draw down and switch back once the pivot changes. this is the part of the system i...

talon, Hopefully these questions arent too off base in the discussion. I know your time is limited so I will try to keep it short. I have a system that I believe makes sense and is logical which is your number 1 in the 3 steps. When looking to test it and backtest it without using too...

thats good. now we just have to hope talon shows back up

not sure if you left talon but are you checking pm's still?

ok. it's too bad, but not your fault. it tends to happen around here a lot

so maybe we can let it die and go back to the original purpose of this thread? any chance talon, that you would be able to look at some testing that has been done as results of forward trades to explain what parts should be analyzed, what parts should be dropped and how to maximize it...

any chance we can drop the fight here and just let talon continue to post if he so chooses? i guess just agree to disagree and move on with the thread

thanks for what you have offered out. it's a bummer it became so diluted

Talon, When you refer to "we" in your testing and trading, are you refering to a group of private traders, a firm, a fund, etc? Just curious

dont take it the wrong way in trying to debunk the method because i think it is very interesting. never really looked at the market in that way, so i do like it. just trying to see potential issues. i do see that leverage as being an issue. just curious to know what you feel a reasonal...

that was a nice call regardless. how deep can you let the whips go on the 2x? For instance if you take a micro account on forex which starts at .10/pip. If you take a range of about 30pips, you still suffer $3.00 DD to start. The progression is so fast that it seems small, but around 8 or 9...