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Bulls climb a wall of worries. When the bears are winning there has a big catalyst to be in place. Can't be garmful to think about them but until news is out that there is a catalyst on the lose the bull side seems favourable.

I based it on George Gammon saying real quotes not beeing exact. but anyways proceed as you like. If it helps.

I bet on a liquidity crisis coming first, an asset price deflation thereafter and then maybe inflation

Reality is: there is more money then opportunities, means no overvaluation at all IMHO

Absolutely agree. Every European ever to visit the states tells exactely what you did after their return.

Over 50% of us GDP comes from government spending. Once you understand that everything else becomes easy to oredict in terms of US eco.

I think the same way, biggest eisk IMO is Deutsche Bank which is levered from the socks to the teeth with derivatives that bet on rising interest rates. Besides that, if r/WSB is successfully squeezing silver shorts (which is to be determined in the following weeks) it might even rip fiat money...

If they take out the silver shorts like they plan to do (by physical demand higher then papers supply) they might even break THE ENTIRE FINANCIAL SYSTEM, how crazy is that? Lets say silver goes BTC style, who wants to hold on to fiat money then?

Fed has given them every reason to do so. Add in the leverage effect of call options (brokers having to hedge) and some shorts beeing to early getting squeezed and you get the perfect meltup.

Inflation will lift off soon as commodities already do

they can still speculate on higher bond prices, the interest rate isn't all they care for. And in a worst case scemario a Dollar at the govt is still more secure then in a meddium quality equity

@MrMuppet how did the story of the false MC end? Refund?

The only thing that gets to my mind when some scummy Asian guy wants you to invest is: BITCONEEEEEECT

The risk is stocks gapping down tremendously over night, so this strat may do well in bull markets only.

I don't know if the market will ever crash again since we are in a meltup but there is a massive credit contraction happening/starting e ght now. You can tell by banks beeing long on bonds while short on gold. (COT/Fed data). There are institutions beeing short of liquidity, we will only know...

??? Where did I write anything about gold? Are you trolling?

There, you said it yourself - no game changer. And the future of America, well, it's the mother of all bubbles popping.

The ship of Murica is sinking regardless who's steering it, point of no return is long in the past. She may move the markets in a bullish direction but she is no game changer. (Not trolling - just that I don't think it does any difference outside of trading.)

Most of them are based upon real estate, others pipeline services and there are many more. Since they pay out most of what they earn and what they are based upon is in these times very risky. But if you do your own research maybe you find something fitting for you, my explanation was just why I...

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