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Sorry not to answering concrete questions. Where is the edge? The edge is in undervalued options to buy and overvalued options to sell. Again check the option databases. You also need to apply moneymanagement and winning traders psychology. Can it be proven to exist? It exists...

Which options do you want to trade? Check out ivolatility.com or the options analyis section of this forum.

If having the concrete signals for a profitable FX system, would you apply them consequently to the market over a long time?

Attached to result of the RUT signals. I applied a 2 point grid. Entry Rule Wave (current) = 1 Exit Rule TS = 1 no profit target ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Be aware of 2-2 waves. They might not be profitable. I did no...

Attached what I found out looking at the NDX on a 5 point grid during the recent few weeks. The system would be extremely simple (and profitable). Who has experience backtesting over a longer period with results that confirm (or reject) that...

02/23/07 +13.8% I am at 110.82% of my initial payroll making money! I averaged 4.5% per day (sample size 37). Maximal taken risk was ca. 40% of the account today.

All indexes reversed up meanwhile...

Down signal 826 STP trailing 828

INDU, SPX, NDX and RUT are pointing down now. Grids are 15, 2, 5, 2 points.

man I agree, but taking the recent 30 incidents and assuming that the market conditions don't change, this could be a quick way to go. The other thing is experience which signal to take and which signal to skip.

02/20/07 +14.7% 02/21/07 +14.3% 02/22/07 +10.9% Account is at 97.26% of initial payroll. Average growth is 4.2% since 36 days.

02/19/07 +54.4% (trading on non-US-market) I am at 66.95% of my initial bankroll since I lost big at the start. Next target is to get back to 100%. The target is to achieve 2% profit vs. the account balance each and every trading day.

man You can make a simple backtest if you have a minimum of 30 incidents. I think for an intraday view 10 days are sufficient. (I am also looking at 1y and 4y timeframes in the indexes). What are others thinking?

murray hellrider I see only uptrends on the bigger charts! Attached the 4y view. You see a comparision of INDU, SPX, NDX and RUT. Also applies to NDX, Qs, etc... Ranking #1 RUT >30% since last significant low #2 NDX >30% since last significant low #3 SPX >20% since last...

The 4 years chart on RUT shows a clear and long uptrend.

APPL volatility is relatively low (see attached graphics). Good for Options Buyers...

02/16/07 +6.0%

AAPL is short from 84 TS is at 86 At 86 a buy signal is triggered

Market direction is clearly up. I used a 3 month time frame and a .25% grid -> only take long trades the next days?

INDU, SPX, NDX and RUT are now pointing up. Time frame is 10 days. I used following grids: INDU 15 (sounds strange...) SPX 2 NDX 5 RUT2 Length of the last up-move: INDU 15 units SPX 12 units NDX 9 units RUT 7 units Market 'vote' is positive. Any opinions from your side?