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Oh please. Have you yet discovered that the FED does not send invitations to investors who would like to attend their policy meetings? If you have figured that out, then have you resorted to charting the rate changes for yourself? Do you have any thoughts on it. If not, well ...

That comment is way too harsh. Paul Volker pushed rates until Dow stocks started to fail. International Harvester (in the Dow) cut it's div to zero (I think), then reorganized. A couple of other boulders fell (Continental Bank, EK, a few others I can't remember). 20% is the absolute max, back in...

There is nothing in your response that is useful to me. As I mentioned, and this post was created in the Tech Analysis section I am interested in feedback from other market participants re "Rates". The level of interest rates, and prospects for where they may go. If you know anything about TA...

I posted here the rates and chart for the rates. I don't care if anybody here has ever heard of Luke Gromen or the other useless comments. I was just looking at the giant airspace over the $TNX chart. I find it stunning. Does anybody have a comment specifically on that? I look at a lot of...

The masses have Food Stamps. Probably numerous other new basic need programs will be created to follow Food Stamps.

10 year note is up nearly 20 bps today. Its like the FED is packing everybody into Cattle Cars. Most people are getting crushed with these rate increases. Devaluing the national debt is one goal. Crushing everyone is not one of the other goals.

Well, I think that was their original plan. 20% inflation for 6 years. At least that's what Luke Gromen has said. But I just don't see that execution.

The FED "says" they want to kill inflation. But it is this inflation that can eventually save the U.S. Treasury. They have no hope of ever paying off the $30 Trillion of Treasuries, bills, notes, and bonds.. The next best thing is for inflation to remove the sting off the principal of that debt...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debt_monetization Well yeah ... While the media in U.S. are busy 24X7 talking about all nefarious deeds of foreign actors (e.g. Putin), the U.S. FED is busy at work monetizing all the U.S. Debt ($30Trillion). And the U.S. Dollar is the appointed Reserve Currency...

OMG. The Bond Market has been a tailwind for equities nearly for four (4) decades. Which is a timeframe that very much also coincides with longevity of a career. Which means there are very few on Wall Street who have experienced the wrath of a Bear Market in Bonds. The TA in me says we will...

The U.S. Dollar has lost 75% of its purchasing power since 1980. The fact that the U.S. Dollar is outperforming other fiat paper currencies is a fact of little value.

Here's the customer experience at the new replacement for McDonalds. Looks as if the designated new hamburger chain is designed mostly by Russian legal minds: Attempts by MCD corporate to recover "Intellectual Property" (logos, trademarks, etc) are likely to be unsuccessful. In these kinds...

https://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthart/2022/05/16/mcdonalds-says-its-exiting-russia-after-more-than-30-years/?sh=5baca8ef32ad I didn't see this news a few months ago. Implied in the headline is that the sovereign nation of Russia is the only buyer. So, seems MCD corporate will not do very...

Interesting thread. Message boards that show TA discussions are nortoriously volitile, charged with large egos and such. Start with a good Russian-to-English translation, then see where it goes. At the very least, we will teach you the proper usage of American English vulgarities.

Seems it's very fashionable to hold fossil fuels in disdain. But that doesn't make them any less useful. Maybe try a couple of cold winters without any cheap $NATGAS, (agricultural fertilizers).

if you think that inflation is picking up again, you're not imagining it.

Was more of a Country Boy when I lived in NJ. There were more cows than people on my street :cool: But right next to Wall Street too (PATH train).

The trade here is still the inflation trade. No change. I hear some people saying something about deflation. Impossible for U.S. markets. The $30 trillion ballast the U.S. is carrying allows only inflation now. We will be several years at this level or higher (CPI) IMO

This is what happens with decades of multiple ponzi schemes. It is what it is. Sorry.,

But the riddle presented to the FED is 1) do you prefer controlled interest rates (and debt service costs) or 2) do you prefer high commodity costs (and possible civil unrest). Not good choices. Best to just continue subsidies for low income food (Food Stamps)