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  1. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    I've been checking out your reports here and there, mostly out of curiosity to see the positions. For the last couple of weeks, I haven't seen any short bond positions (I haven't checked every day, I might have missed some if the system went in and out), how come? I've had at least 2 bond shorts...
  2. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    Same here, also long one V2TX as of this morning. Heads up, Rob will say for sure, but I think DO only generates a position in the direction of the unrounded position, so if that's -0.5, if I understood correctly, you shouldn't be long. From...
  3. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    Did some research into risk overlays, following the methods Rob described in https://qoppac.blogspot.com/2022/02/exogenous-risk-overlay-take-two.html. Trying to look whether any of those would have been triggered during the recent run up in oil and its derivatives and from what I see in my...
  4. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    The timing on this closing trade turned out to be spot on, close to the top of the day :) (I'm assuming times are UTC). How did it execute at that time? I know at some point your execution algo was checking that the bid-ask spread is no bigger than X multiples of the minimum tick size. Does your...
  5. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    This is next up on my list! I'm obviously joking, I'm pretty happy with the DO stuff, backtests are looking great and I should give it more than 2 days to make judgements :) I do have an interesting implementation that I wanted to write about. I don't run pysystemtrade, but I "hook into" it for...
  6. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    7% down here. I'll say this is karma for me bragging about missing that carnage at the end of November. :D Interesting thing is that 3/4 of the loss are from single long heating oil contract. Yep, I'm that unlucky to be long still. Fun fact - I introduced DO on Monday. My system before that got...
  7. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    Hey folks, long time no post from me, so here's an update while that paint is drying. :D I'm currently also about 15% up YTD. Today started great, was up about 5%, but now down to +1%, since grains and some other stuff went back down. This DO stuff Rob has sure is some magic if he's still doing...
  8. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    :banghead: Not sure how I missed this, of course that's the simplest solution. :) :thumbsup:
  9. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    There is a free tier, yes. Though, I think it's only for 12 months, per https://aws.amazon.com/free/?all-free-tier.sort-by=item.additionalFields.SortRank&all-free-tier.sort-order=asc&awsf.Free Tier Types=*all&awsf.Free Tier Categories=*all&all-free-tier.q=s3&all-free-tier.q_operator=AND Now...
  10. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    Rob, I think S3 would be great for this. You can host a static website on it easily, you even get some benefits like versioning for free, you don't have to manage a box, you can also stick your custom domain in front of it if you want. Also, API is almost as simple as in your example, few lines...
  11. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    It scanned for me, but couldn't parse :) Amaranth Advisors was a company that was involved in natural gas futures rigging scandal, some info here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amaranth_Advisors (From what I gather, it was just one trader actually). But I haven't seen any news about recent...
  12. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    Now I'm big time confused (disclaimer: I know 0 financial lingo). I looked into that and what's called IRR here https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/money-weighted-return.asp is Money-Weighted return. Here's an example: You start the year with 300K (imagine your max account limit, "the cap" is...
  13. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    :D It's ok folks, he mentioned on that podcast he's going on vacation soon, there's gonna be anarchy here. We'll post PnL's every day and curve fit everything. On a more serious note, what do you mean by "time-weighted"? I mean this as described here...
  14. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    Sugar #11 and Cotton #2.
  15. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    Quick update for the mid year (data as of Friday). Time-weighted return for the year so far is 14.79%, currently in a ~11% drawdown. Overall, pretty happy, despite the recent drawdown. Early May things were looking pretty good :D Positions: ZS 202111: 1 GBM 202109: -3 N225M 202109: 1...
  16. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    I gotta say I admire this. I'm 100% certain I could not resist running a backtest. I wouldn't change or tweak anything depending on the result, but I would run one. You did mention in a post in this thread a few days ago: Why not run a backtest and see if the backtested SR is better? And...
  17. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    I had one contract in soybeans and corn each, and yesterday after the close, system computed optimal positions as 0.791 and 0.984, so didn't sell any. However, I *strongly* considered interfering yesterday evening when the grains markets opened and selling. I read somewhere that this was a 7...
  18. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    I can imagine the digital conversation between various components of pysystemtrade: - (position sizing) Bollocks! Lads, we can't let Rob see the shite we got ourselves into! He'll replace us with that short-term mean reversion bloke over there! - (execution) Oi forecast, I told you 20 is too...
  19. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    So, how's everybody enjoying this reversal in commodities? :) It's been a good run I say...
  20. W

    Fully automated futures trading

    Quick note, if you're doing this in Python, and I know Rob is, this won't do it. Python has GIL (Global Interpreter Lock) and you can't have parallelism with threads, you need to use processes. Effectively, within a process, only one thread can be executing Python code at any time. The way...
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