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    What's the best way to organize all your trading notes?

    LOL. You are asking how to take notes? Take notes. I'm sure Evernotes or whatever can add value in some situations but at the click of a button now you can save a bunch of stuff that you will probably never look at again. And it is searchable? Never heard of Google? When I come across...
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    What is your win rate?

    Maybe because I am not a day trader and because I trade stocks I have a different perspective. I'm not clear why someone should care what the market offers on a daily basis. What they can take from that will depend in part on their time frame. Someone trading 5 minute bars may be missing...
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    What is your win rate?

    About 60% winners, avg win about the same as avg loss.
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    Balanced Portfolio

    Some additional references for building a simple diversified portfolio: This shows how a well diversified portfolio can smooth returns and why that is especially important in retirement...
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    Balanced Portfolio

    There is a backtest spreadsheet here http://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=2520&highlight=asset+allocation+spreadsheet ... that can be used to determine performance for a variety of buy and hold portfolio's (rebalanced annually). See especially the lazy portfolio's tab.
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    When support and resistance fails?

    Ok, how about a comment on topic. With SPY having two prior peaks around 134 I would consider that resistance and after yesterdays break it failed pretty spectacularly today. I trade mechanical strategies, not support and resistance, but as I understand it a failure after a break of resistance...
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    My account value reaches $600,000 for the first time; launching incubator hedge fund

    Thanks, and no, I don't expect you to. It seems that you are better hedged than I thought based on the earlier discussion.
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    My account value reaches $600,000 for the first time; launching incubator hedge fund

    Congratulations on your performance. Given that you appeared to have a long bias and a buy and hold type timeframe, I'm curious how you managed to turn in positive performance in March and May when the market was flat/down. Was it a matter of stock selection, short VXX (which would have been...
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    June

    Interesting that the OP see's the market at support - and that is an interesting chart by the way. To me it looked like it's at resistance ... but then I trade mechanically and only use the general market trend (which is up) to make adjustments in my trading. Given the market trend is still up...
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    Sectors to exclude

    Well I have two positions in Chinese companies that have been halted due to possible fraud. I'll wait at least until i can get out of these positions before I consider Chinese companies again. Other than that I don't really pay attention to where the company is, or what the company does...
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    Sectors to exclude

    I'm a fan of Larry Connors research, but he makes too much of the win rate. His Daily Battle Plan wins something like over 80% of trades but after costs his clients are still likely to lose money: http://www.cxoadvisory.com/individual-gurus/review-of-larry-connors-daily-battle-plan/ I've...
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    Sectors to exclude

    I have been ruling out the Chinese small caps recently. Too many frauds lately. I'm not trading ETFs or large caps because the opportunities are better in small cap stocks.
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    When support and resistance fails?

    There are no clear signals, only probabilities. Here's a statement made during the last bear market that I thought could be useful in framing market expectations:
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    Sentiment

    Seems like a reasonable idea but I think you will have trouble getting reliable data, and there are a number of sentiment indicators for free: CBOE put/call ratio: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$CPCE&p=D&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p15844037931 This site has a free short term and longer term...
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    Where do i find historical daily charts per given day

    freestockcharts.com, but it only goes back so far, depending on the size of the candle.
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    Simple Reversion Tendency Indicator?

    The Casino has an undisputed edge. That they have to occasionally pay out large sums does not change that. My RTM edge is not nearly as solid as a Casino's, but I have an edge, and the occasional big loser does not change that. I once has a position go 150% against me, and that was not...
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    paying more commission for more leverage? what you think?

    When you're starting out it's always best to trade small. To be successful you first have to learn how to survive.
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    Simple Reversion Tendency Indicator?

    The same way a Casino deals with an occasional jackpot. They suck it up, pay it out, and keep on grinding out profits. I keep position size small and play the odds. You have to have a lot of confidence in the probability of the trade to stick it out ... at least the way I trade RTM.
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    Suggestions on Portfolio Performance Analysis?

    I use Excel with the XLQ add-in from Qmatix which allows me to easily pull in historic and real time stock data. With it I calculate ATR and max drawdown per trade as well as slippage against my entry and exit signals. I use it not only for trade history and some backtesting but to pull in...
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    Engineer looking to make a career change into trading (PART II)

    Well you can manually paper trade dozens of potential trades or in the same time with a good backtester you can test hundreds to thousands of potential trades. I test trades by the thousands and I'll tell you that something that works in a sample of 1,000, or 10,000 across market cycles is more...
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