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  1. K

    So basically Bernane promised rate hike

    no later than August. Actually I think it's gonna happen in June he has no choice if he don't hike and ECB does - it will be ugly
  2. K

    Spain is in a deep, deep recession

    americans won't be able to vacation anyywhere but their backyard relax. Euro rules the world now. Buck is a history
  3. K

    Apple on Monday

    You analyze like a fan not like a trader. I would say 90% don't care if it miles ahead or light years. Most people just need one function - talk. bussiness users need email to some degree. That's all. Everything else is just a toy All those functions you mention are mostly hype and teens...
  4. K

    Apple on Monday

    and??? do you think more people use Porche than Ford?
  5. K

    Get The Hell Out: Part II

    US workers don't have any savings and those who have are severely punished by inflation and rates below inflation. Fed doesn't care about economy or people. They care only about their friend from investments bans
  6. K

    Fed wants higher oil prices

    It might be FED even buys futures to push prices higher You would think why Easy. Thier friends from investment banks need to cover losses. And oil is very convinient instrument If Fed wanted lower prices why then they don't shut up all those forecasters from Morgan and Goldman? Or...
  7. K

    suprise rate hike on Monday...

    I guess they don't have any choice but to hike immediatelly wall street will self destroy itself either way but main street will have a small chance then
  8. K

    The Day Before Payroll Data

    you mean cooked_job_numbers will be better than expected?
  9. K

    Bernanke: No Wage-Price spiral inflation

    the economy grew 50% in the last ten 10 years (according to their numbers) and incomes were flat what's the sense of the economic growth if people earn less?
  10. K

    Bernanke signals more rate cuts unlikely

    what finally? rate are negative they need to raise rates at least to 7-8% if it's not done - doesn't matter what he says - US$ doomed
  11. K

    Any side the dollar will strengthen??

    try to think 1. real goverment deficit including Iraq, Stimulus etc. will be around 700-800 bil this year and higher next years 2. trade deficit 800 bil 3. real inflation probably double digits 4. real GDP probably somewhere around -5% 5. interest rates negative 6. central bankers around...
  12. K

    Shale End All Our Problems?

    how much would it cost to pump water from the ocean? Or salt water is not ok?
  13. K

    wow, oil inventories down 8.8M

    Anyway market likes high oil And US is in recession probably since 2000 if use real CPI so don't worry much
  14. K

    False U.S. Economy or not?

    credit card debt increased significantly this month nothing can help but recession. laws of economy can't be reverted and business cycle must happen Fed resists - so be it. They should get their lesson SImple money pumping is not the answer Answer is stop Iraq war, stop government...
  15. K

    Increase margin req's on OIL! -- now...

    maybe just stop crazy dollar printing? and raise rates above inflation?
  16. K

    How safe am I at IB?

    Aggregate LLoyds insurance is 150M And it is paid after SIPC as average account is around 100K those 150M must be enough to cover most loses in case of disaster even for big accounts
  17. K

    What are the risks of shorting Bear at $5?

    actually that might be true. According to reports Lewis still has 1 Bn left. So he might be in a such tilt so he is trying to buy the entire BSC using his IB TWS
  18. K

    What are the risks of shorting Bear at $5?

    there are two problems 1. What value does the company have now? 2. Are there any crazy Asians and Arabs who would agree to buy if Fed says Bear goes to JPM?
  19. K

    What are the risks of shorting Bear at $5?

    I agree Bear is dead What BS now is just a zombie there is no chance for them Building is sold, positions are being closed, clients moved somewhere else Noone will ever make a single trade with them What value it has now? Zero And if no bail out shareholders would get nothing...
  20. K

    everyone on cnbc is begging for 1% rate cut

    1% cut is OK given what happened What I found more interesting on CNBC today - there is some understanding - investments banks are done all together There is no job for them - after the crisis all those structured investments will be banned or at least heavily regulated
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