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as you said, it has reversed :)

moved stop to 1244, target same

pretty confident in this trade, so giving more room...stop at 1241

stop 1243, target 1252

long 1245

israel attacking iran ??? if that happens, gold should shoot...

I am only saying that as number of trades increase (either within a time interval t, or in any time), the system will experience a drawdown > max historical drawdown. A thought experiment ill probably help here: Let us say your backtests have 1000 trades and your largest losing streak (you can...

yes in a specified time period. pretty simple, more # of trades mean more chances to have losing streaks so sooner or later you will hit a DD which will be larger than your historical max DD Yes, exactly, more # of trades with an edge means faster compounding and faster account growth but it...

Few things for you to kindly note: 1. More strategies means more number of trades which naturally means deeper drawdowns. Remember, max DD increases monotonically with number of trades for any one system, so an analogous result will hold for system of systems also, if you are taking trades...

Update for week 15 ending Nov 11, 2011 : -300$ for the week. Last week I decided to move all my ES trading to sim. Broke the rule, lost 500$ trading ES in live account. So, again had I not traded ES, I would have been up 200$ for the week. Now, as a control system, I have asked my family...

ES 4 round trips today, lost 1.25 points + commissions. Done for the day. Initially traded euro when the big runup happened. so made some dough there.

Good points LF about the TICK and especially about that this price action has the potential to churn your account. Good Trading.

question: is the last push over, or is it still continuing in the sense that price is taking a pause here before bursting higher ?

market is up 2%, but there have been days before when market has closed much more than 2%. Its hanging here and not selling off for last 2 hrs (if you don't consider 3-4 points move down a selloff). I guess there will be a burst of buying once the afternoon doldrums are behind us. Good point...

DOM skew negative -3k for last 10-20 minutes...still price is holding up....very bullish sign imo.

echo same sentiments here wave....will be great if you can share some gems!!!!!!

long 61.75, target 72, stop 59

The way i am going to take it forward is that i am going to try to hit singles, 1-2-3 pointers, and not focussing on hitting homeruns like 6-10 pointers, for the next month or so. If i see some very clear opportunity then yes i will try to get a larger number. Reason being i will be subjected...

Todays summary Largest losing trade was 6.5 points, had I eliminated that it wouldn't have been such a bad day. Was down 8 points initially after first hour, came back to +2 points from there. So, net net bad, but still ok. Takeaway for today: I will avoid trading first half hour/ first...

covered lasat one 38, and now short 38, covered it at 36.5 flat now.