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  1. M

    POLL: Why is stock_trad3r so bad at picking stock direction?

    The distribution of the poll results is interesting.
  2. M

    So. Cal. Prop Firms

    How does this work? If I come to the firm with 50k, I can only be exposed to 12.5k in options? What do you mean by "one to one"? No ratio spreads, etc?
  3. M

    Consumer spending

    On a Micro level, the stores around my city were CROWDED...hopefully this continues through Dec 24. How was your city??
  4. M

    Epiphany! (Laughing)

    Are you referring to Mandelbrot's book?
  5. M

    No Margin Interest on Futures?

    To further confuse: be aware of contango and backwardation! J/k, the only thing I can offer is that you do not pay interest on the 115k in your example. I won't tell you to go read a book because I assume you came on here for the quick and dirty answer.
  6. M

    Calendars, Theta, ImpVol

    :p You'll be surprised with the amount of surprises to come
  7. M

    probability

    Reference to standard deviation? Although it should be 68% within one SD either way...based on a Gaussion distribution
  8. M

    Who has excess deposits at the Fed (and lose money on rate cuts)?

    They are required to have capital at the Federal Reserve. The bank does make a return on reserves, by the way. http://www.federalreserve.gov/GeneralInfo/fract/sect05.htm
  9. M

    Recommended Options Analysis tools?

    I agree...OX has neat stuff
  10. M

    Who has excess deposits at the Fed (and lose money on rate cuts)?

    Who has excess reserve? Only the Fed and the bank itself know that. My guess is the more conservative banks have reserves. Remember that the Fed consists of Member Banks...no foreigners...at least not in the legal sense (i.e. Deutsche, ABN, etc). Correct me if I'm wrong here: FFR is from...
  11. M

    Grab your ankles, it's another bailout

    Credit rating agencies gave AAA to toxic waste...They're unreliable
  12. M

    What's The REAL Reason We Even HAVE A Fed?

    I tried to ask a more probing question and got virtually the same answer: ----------------------------------- Dear Mr. Matador04: Thank you for your recent correspondence and for your questions concerning "shareholders" of the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve System is not "owned"...
  13. M

    What's The REAL Reason We Even HAVE A Fed?

    Dear Mr. Matador04: Thank you for your recent correspondence and for your questions concerning ownership of stock in the Federal Reserve System. It is important to note that there is considerable misunderstanding about the Federal Reserve. Many people think that the Federal Reserve is...
  14. M

    Market down 1.75%, VIX only up 2.02% ?? huh?

    I thought about that; it wasn't as choppy as last week...so I suppose that would make sense
  15. M

    Market down 1.75%, VIX only up 2.02% ?? huh?

    With the S&P down that much, shouldn't one expect the VIX to spike a little more than 2.02%? Please enlighten me...
  16. M

    PetroDollars no longer back by USD? Implications?

    I agree that it's mostly political. Great post, btw.
  17. M

    PetroDollars no longer back by USD? Implications?

    http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/071118/opec.html
  18. M

    More volatility more profit?

    Day trade options? deep ITM?
  19. M

    POLL: What caused your WORST trade ever?

    Bad news was the cause of one of my large losses in '04. I had sold a put (OTM) and in a week the stock tanked 20%...I ended up recovering as it was oversold.
  20. M

    San Diego or Southern California Firm?

    So let's get together on Saturday at Rock Bottom...there's also El Torito across the street if RB is too busy. Does 12 pm work? There's always college football on. Any Takers?
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