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Falling dollar is good for multinationals with sales and earnings to consolidate into the company financials. The weaker dollar makes the same number of euros translate into more dollars. the falling dollar is bad for multinationals that manufacture offshore to import to be assemblied in the...

I purchased SIRI at 2.22 about two months ago, and i observe that you still rule the markets and now individual stocks :cool: best wishes for another successful New Year and Start a new surfer journal, Version 2004 sg

I am long NGAS, assuming that with the price of nat gas rising as an alternative to petro, the companies should use the profits to expand explor & product facilities, which would be good in the long run. And since the energy prices are not coming down at all with a rebounding economy creating...

Here is the government data for total natural gas inventories' average for the last ten years, with 2003 and 2004 forecast at the 2003 levels. 2003 was a colder year than the past averages, will have that data later. . . and if we use 2003 data for drawdown and supply, we will be in better...

the input is two numbers, each 1-6, correct? then set up a spreadsheet with 1000 rows of column A and B to use the random number generator and a VB function to classify the output to a number. . . then in columns c=> AA or whatever, write a VB function for the Win loss strategy...

An interesting look at how the Shock & Awe war is NOT at the same point in the economic cycle as the Gulf War. . .

You all will laugh, maybe, at the folly of market forecasting, but try this out, the forecast could be all wet, but: same style fundamental and technical model, ]6 week forecast of the SP500 closing Friday prices. . . . the problem is that these models have a hard time getting the time...

after seeing the saddam tape, he is not in good health and looked so different that he might have been killed, but i think that will cause him to be much more retaliatory, and especially for his son, unless his son was killed. . . and with turkey now giving air clearance, the war has just...

But i gave it a try, and here is the model with a new variable: I inserted a PreWar Variable, very much like the GulfWar, and the time frames for this variable is SET PREWAR = %iF(T>=1990:08:10.AND.T<=1991:01:25, 1, 0) SET PREWAR = %iF(T>=2002:05:03.AND.T<=2003:03:14, 1, 0) The variable...

There is nothing wrong with it, you just are! Surf, you appear to be playing the war effect, similar to the rally that ensued in 1991, which you said you were waiting for again. in other words, either way, the market will rally whether we have war or a peaceful solution. And the easiest...

i hope you are right for your sake. . . i guess you think the war is not going to happen and all will end peacefully, or the economy will magically recover with the end of the war THREAT. . . or its a sentimental rally of epic proportions. . .such as the mid stage japanese rally, before...

looks like the rip tide threw some old lobster pots, crabs, and fishes up on the breakwater, and they have been decomposing in the spring sun sportsguy

This PREWAR hangover falls into the sentiment area, IMO, and so i have been testing a PREWAR variable in the sentiment area, and the variable is also tested similarly in the 1990-91 time period, in which i was trading so i know the dates. i have been testing some prewar and post war...

although because asstrology is based upon fixed cycles, and there are alot of different cycles happening all the time, one can ascribed a cycle to any event that is forecast, and be believed. . . its just like the web site here http://www.cyberglass.co.uk/assets/Flash/psychic.swf as to...

The earnings forecast,

Earnings forecast based upon fundamental variables, M1 Currency Growth, M2 Incremental Growth, Industrial Production, next, not current, futures Crude Oil price, Ned Davis Research Monetary model, USDollar, Capacity Utilization, Chain Store Sales, Core Inflation Rate P/E ratio forecast...

http://www.surfsite.com.au/surfcam.html :cool:

See the the lastest EPS forecast from the statistical torture machine. . . The LIGHT BLUE is the actual EPS and the DARK BLUE is the www.spglobal.com conservative estimates. The more aggressive estimates are even worse, obviously. The pink is what history says the SP500 should approximate to...

surf, i see the DOW 8,000 intersection very clearly, but i also see a 8225 intersection also. . . is there anything in that area that looks like a minor support, or is my Gann Fann not intersecting quite right? thanks sportsguy

Hmmm, no i'm not a beginner in market forecasting been doing it for awhile. . . .