Search results

do you trade CAD exclusively?

Ahead of CAD payrolls: they have come in above consensus in each of the last five reports, blowing it away three times. The average absolute miss has risen to 28.5K in teh last year. Every time we’ve had a blowout January over the past 20 years (defined as 25K above the Q4 average)...

IVEY was particularly meaningless, not even an average miss and its a number than even when it misses significantly, rarely sees any followthough and rarely runs far in any direction. Thats just a fact, I keep data.

both were basically meaningless, see how CAD is unmoved

Avg avbsolute miss in IVEY is almost 6 points, avg miss in non-man ISM is last year is 2.0 points

I agree, but you have to know what is a miss and what isn't.

not at all apparently (re: Ivey and ISM), neither was much of a miss.

average absolute miss of IVEY to Bloomberg consensus has been 5.7 points in last year. So today's miss was less than average = non-event.

I don't think they give a crap about the IVEY, hasn't been around long. Not even remotely as important as ISM. Its a measure of purchasing manager sentiment, not consumer. Sometimes its up here a few seconds early. http://iveypmi.uwo.ca/english/commenteng.htm

An interesting quote from this week's Economist magazine: Investment banks use “value-at-risk” models which mean that, when volatility rises, they cut the capital they allocate to trading. This usually means selling assets. So a sudden jump in volatility tends to generate further...

oh, and correlations all go to one when the market panics.

For the last three years volatility has fallen. Measures of risk like corporate bond spreads have fallen. Money has been cheap. hedge funds have proliferated, their assets have risen. They are all in the same trade. Buy risk, sell volatility. They've borrowed cheap in yen and Swiss franc...

I t was me Pointnone. I bash him here but secretly I really want to know how that handsome 35 year old man with the hot wife pulls it all off.

anybody following the income trust tax story here?

you banged out a winner and told us about it. Self esteem problems?

Wow, you are the shit Harold

"you are completely wrong here. we do NOT claim." Exactly the point. Outlandish (really outlandish) claims of profitablity without any documentation deserve the whole board's disgust. Only a rank amateur would fall for this.

this is getting interest, Hershey could end this right now if he wanted to. But i doubt it will happen.

makosgu is a billion dollar wheeler and dealer, per his description.

sell buttons on the corner to high school kids?