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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    BOE considering cutting. Sterling rate futs spiking but coming down quickly. Bought some DEC and MAR.
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    How is Hugh Hendry doing?

    Hendry's flagship fund delivered +1.5% in August and +9.9% YTD.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    If your broker supports EUREX/DTB then you can simply trade the German fixed income futures. They're highly liquid across the maturity spectrum. Also - as opposed to ETFs - no pesky withholding taxes on dividends to deal with.
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    Germany´s Asmussen propsed as successor of ECB´s Juergen Stark

    Lewis pissing on Asmussen.. and Germany as a whole. Hilarious article: http://www.vanityfair.com/business/features/2011/09/europe-201109
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    10yr German Bunds at record low yield of 1.77%...

    Swiss 10y is @ 1.0%. D-Mark 10y yields would probably look similar.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Axel Weber probably feeling pretty good about retiring 'at the top' in February.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    All that's missing now is someone like Schauble to pull a Hank Paulson and announce the markets are well-prepared for a Greek default and there's no risk it could trigger a systemic shockwave. Oh it's September too, how convenient.
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    Societe Generale thread

    Market smells Greece mail fail any day and SG will be in touble once they do. Same issue @ Commerzbank.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Hussman is asking why so many pundits claim stocks are 'incredibly cheap' going forward while corporate margins are at record highs. Short paragraph starting around the middle of the page, at 'Profit margins, labor income, and the growing cloud over earnings growth'...
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    Dighton ASP Fund Down 40,8% in July

    I'm hearing Dighton lost another 60% in August. They're dead meat.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Throwing Koo and Krugman into one big 'Keynsian' pigeonhole may be convenient but it's still wrong. The difference between Koo and Krugman is that Koo understands the role of debt and its effect on aggregate demand once private and corporate balance sheets are impaired. Krugman does not...
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    European big caps are about 25% cheaper (or less expensive, depending on where you stand) than their US counterparts, doesn't keep a floor under them yet.
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    Former UK chancelor Darling: Mervy King is clueless central banker

    Darling was just as clueless as the BOE. What better thing to do than blame his own incompetence on the incompetence of others?
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Things not looking so rosy in Europe while American dip buyers are busy flipping burgers instead of Eurostoxx futs.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Bloomberg's Betty Liu seemed a little confused when she asked uber-bear David Rosenberg if the NFP report 'changed his outlook at all' http://www.bloomberg.com/video/74755451/
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Bunds shooting through August highs. The MBA summer interns at the trading desks around Canary Wharf must be confident Europe is contracting already.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Pimco's El-Arian sees the ECB being pushed to cut rates, possibly later this year. Would be another historic flip-flop for Mr. Vigilant, one last kink in the vest before his well-deserved retirement.
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    Beta Weight Portfolio

    You're using historic beta (e.g. last N days) as an estimate to predict future beta. Hence the inaccuracy.
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    paulson saved wall street and burned main street

    Walker F. Todd, a research fellow at the American Institute for Economic Research and a former assistant general counsel and research officer at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland: So Dexia just had a single NY branch so this idiot figures it couldn't possibly have caused much of a...
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    That's just completely off. How could Gold possibly be his main macro call? It's nothing more than a side-bet for those share holders who invested in the gold denominated share-classes. Paulson's entire macro thesis treated the last recession as a garden variety type contraction that will be...
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