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    oil and nat gas future options on IB

    Can't find them to save my life. Any recommendations?
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    What can Kill the Oil and Gold Bull?

    heh.. xom: 10600 employees, 40billion/year earnings. Each employee = $377002 in earnings for xom. so to buy an employee at 10x earnings for life, just like you could buy a stock for life, you will have to pay him 3.7 mil for his career. That works out to 123k/year over 30 years. I...
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    What can Kill the Oil and Gold Bull?

    can you explains this process? I'm curious specifically how it works. thanks.
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    What can Kill the Oil and Gold Bull?

    Disagree - then more Nigerian pipelines would be attacked, and Mr. Chavez from Venezuela would find a way to conspire. The only way out of this one is a comfortable and substantial drop in demand (even though supply limitations aren't out there yet), enough to make the markets feel...
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    Black Monday

    Sometimes I'm impressed with what he says (thestreet.com has a morning notes video from him), but then that raucous mad money show is intolerable. I literally can not stand watching it -- all the screaming. he seems (and I know this has been said countless times before) coked out and not...
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    What can Kill the Oil and Gold Bull?

    The real players (the guys who use the oil, and the guys who sell it) don't need in and out on their purchasing decisions. The gamblers do. The liquidity benefits the gamblers more than it does the big money. If you have 1000 barrels you want to sell, you sell it once. You don't sell, buy...
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    Black Monday

    ha.. he always says that. What if the powers at be at CNBC gave cramer the authority to recommend people not only sell, but SHORT everything.. buy puts on the whole goddamn thing.. that would really piss off the whole advertising client base of CNBC (mutual funds, etc etc)
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    What can Kill the Oil and Gold Bull?

    what about increasing margin requirements to reduce speculation on oil ? How about 3:1 instead of 40:1 ?? Is it a practical suggestion?
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    bond market movements and yield curves / strength of dollar issues

    I did some reading today and saw some things I never realized before: 1) Japan currently has in excess of $7 trillion (USD equiv) dollars of debt. Their budget deficit is equal to something like 5.6% of gdp. US debt is actually a bit lower (percentage of gdp). 2) I'm having trouble...
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    Impatience

    Just thought I'd make a contribution from a recently learned lesson. If you're impatient, it may mean you are trading too large a position. If an unreasonable fear of loss is driving your impatience to hold, then it may be wise to reduce your position size to the point where you can *afford*...
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    Questions about Tithing

    this is a silly discussion. just consider your losses as charity to your fellow market participants.
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    bond market movements and yield curves / strength of dollar issues

    I mean 2 USD to 1 EUR as a collapse. If we need to inflate our way out as a way of dealing with the debt, there's no reason I see it couldn't happen. I'm sure the US government will try to stop paying interest on entitlements (3 trillion of the current debt) as a first attempt to deal with...
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    bond market movements and yield curves / strength of dollar issues

    I'm not a bond trader -so let me disclaim myself first off. Also, I've read numerous articles on yield curves and the meaning of bond prices - but I want to discuss this on a macro level with more informed members of the group. Here's my personal view and attitude: 1) for me to invest in...
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    Is This Options Strategy Realistic?

    You're right - i edited my post to reflect a complete think through right before you replied. and with put bull spreads, you can do even more.
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    Is This Options Strategy Realistic?

    It should be more precisely said: Selling a covered call and owning the underlying provides the same risk as selling a naked put. If a stock goes up past strike point after I've sold a covered call, I've lost out on gains. If a stock goes down past strike after I sold a naked put, at...
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    Is This Options Strategy Realistic?

    1) selling a call earns premium on time decay. 2) buying a put, you fight time decay. so option value may decline even if underlying moves in your direction. 3) a decrease in implied volatility after selling options is great for the seller, as they buy back their obligations for a cheaper...
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    Is This Options Strategy Realistic?

    The bull spreads are a great tip -- think of it as a covered call for your long call (or a 'covered' put for a put). It will offset theta and vega decline, reduce maximum amount lost on the spread, etc. And if you are still long, but see a bad day or two for no good reason, you can buy back...
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    Is This Options Strategy Realistic?

    the most important thing about options buying is money management. So if you have a $15k account, treat it as your investing limit was $15k, not the margin equivilent (4x, or $60k). In other words, unless you are fine with your account quickly disappearing, you probably shouldn't buy 5...
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    Day Trade Stocks

    don't trade aapl. (you can tell I've obviously been burned) i second the anti-nasdaq recommendation. but what do i know. day trading and me don't mix well - i do it all wrong, enter wrong, exit wrong, over leverage, double up when it moves opposite my desired direction, get stopped out too...
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    Natural Gas going to 0?

    great post. so if this guy is right, then why are these nat. gas producers paying premium in buyouts (ie anadarko and wgr/kerr-mcgee)? He's on the side which claims energy is run up by overtrading and overspeculation. I can agree on one hand, but he brings up another issue which makes...
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