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    SHORT oil here

    Thought the 8:15 interview was interesting: javascript:openRobtvVideoPlayer('','robtv0726.20050517.00029000-00029267-clip1','http://www.robtv.com',''); If not, try this link: http://www.robtv.com/shows/past_archive.tv?day=tue
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    Get rid of Alan Greenspace and the Fed?

    It's really the two sides of the coin, the Fed's interbank lending at low rates and the issuing of notes at low rates picked up by the central banks (and other players) of the world. So, foreign central banks pay a hefty price for keeping their employment at home.
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    Get rid of Alan Greenspace and the Fed?

    ***If the Fed did that, buy back their bonds, they would be recovering from the bad deal of lending at low rates...*** What was I thinking. No, that's not the way it is. You're right, it is a hell of a deal for the Fed, and a very bad one for the bond holder. Chinese, japanese, et al...
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    Get rid of Alan Greenspace and the Fed?

    I'm not an expert, but, the Fed use the discount rate, Fed rate and the level of reserves to play the game. The rates reduction allow any bank to get a loan from the Fed at the lower rates, hence, lowering all rates. Every dollar reduced from the reserve requirement of a bank has a 9x...
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    Richard Russell On Oil And Deflation

    Got it all wrong. The guy with the biggest debts is the Fed. Or, a central bank. These guys operate the other way around: they sterilize, or issue notes to remove currency from the economy, and they pay their debt to note holders in order to inject currency into the economy. I don't get...
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    Get rid of Alan Greenspace and the Fed?

    Have you read any other historian as good as Quigley? I was amazed at the amount of information this guy processed, and put down in coherent constructs, which considered the economies involved, and the extent of his research. After reading 3-4 pages, I had to take a rest to digest his...
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    Butterfly Meltdown Signal

    How would the fed announcement to roll over its short into long term debt, by reissuing the 30 yr t bond affect your butterfly? Where did you get the butterfly? I'd like to read a little into its fundamentals.
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    Get rid of Alan Greenspace and the Fed?

    The issue at hand is that it's very unpopular for the government to face voters in an economy that requires to reduce the cost of the labor component due to a loss of competitiveness, which presents itself in a weak economy. In order to achieve this, salaries would have to be reduced. Or/and...
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    Get rid of Alan Greenspace and the Fed?

    In order to really understand what goes on in the world, you have to understand that behind it all, there are two opposing forces: * The industrialist, where its greatest icon was Rockefeller, and * The banker, remember J.P. Morgan... In essence, Mr. Rockefeller likes inflation...
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    Get rid of Alan Greenspace and the Fed?

    Insurance comes to mind... As a trader, I read the other day, that the losses in volatility in stocks (the market) was due to bond insurance. Some guy started selling insurance on co. bonds, and the market for this insurance has grown to huge proportions. In order to cover their fannies...
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    Get rid of Alan Greenspace and the Fed?

    Humm... In 1929 people went to their local bank to get their deposit money... And, you know what, it wasn't there... Why? Because some banker long ago, found out he could make an extra penny by lending out those deposits... Mind you the consent of the depositors... So, things got tight...
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    Do Trendlines work?

    Greatest trader ever... Over $100 million shorting the crash of '29. You see, the concept of testing a level of S or R, means, in essence, that we don't know what's coming, that we must wait for the test to tell us. It throws a wrench into any mechanical system, since, in essence, the...
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    Do Trendlines work?

    Finally, you have the ball at your testing point... What do you do then? Well, you're going to drop the ball, unless you manage the trade. You do some research as to what the ball usually does, and you place your order with a stop. That's it. Good luck.
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    Do Trendlines work?

    One more thing: Channels are better, they are the natural extension of trendlines. If prices are escaping out of the bands, or touching or not touching at all the band... that in itself tells me a lot. Or, if nothing has changed in the trajectory of the ball, why can't the ball reach...
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    How is order entered in automated systems?

    No special account. You need to program your system into one of the many pieces of software available, and then hitch it to your order system. It will trigger you orders automatically, while your gone. Hope you still own the house, once you get back, though... Good luck to you.
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    Do Trendlines work?

    Man, lol, I have to leave a comment... I read 56 pages... and the last 2 or 3. I have to say: FRACTAL, MY ASS!! One question to all quants out there: The guys on the floor, the ones that paid over $1M to be there, do you think any of them are able to use this stuff? Quagmire comes to...
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    Real Estate value doubles every 9 years? - need help

    I've never looked at a chart on RE. But, I've noticed a 10 year bust cycle, 1982, 1991, 2001...2011?
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    Real Estate value doubles every 9 years? - need help

    I would think that his first concern would be his exposure. In a nutshell, when things get rough, and your exposed, by renting, you are bound to get hurt. People default on their rental payments, and for good reasons, loss of a job. I recall a tenant, he started out his lease with an income...
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    SHORT oil here

    You've held all along? just curious. I've been in and out many times.
  20. T

    SHORT oil here

    We'll probably see $48- within 1+ week, at the most, depending on oil strength, which keeps on surprising me... Then, we bounce. Good luck guys.
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