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  1. Z

    FOMC actions

    @cesfx and others.. It's like shit, the more you respond and get evolved, the dirtier you get:banghead: Don't even touch it with a 2m stick
  2. Z

    IBM To Replace 7.800 Jobs With A.I

    That's actually a funny remark:thumbsup: I think you have talent to become a content creator too
  3. Z

    5 min ORB strategy

    I searched through that paper, but they don't seem to use a factor for spread and associated costs. That could (unfortunately) explain the results for small 'stoplosses'. A good thing though - at first glance - seems to be that there is low correlation with the index itself:
  4. Z

    FOMC actions

    I'm thinking going long all in on my sim account
  5. Z

    IBM To Replace 7.800 Jobs With A.I

    There was an article where bankers warned millionals on the skewed income distribution in this sector: //www.ft.com/content/3f34db20-fdca-4c85-8cf6-18ab692ab3b9 And you should trust them, since they give good advice I think the implementation of chatgtp will be easy and fast. The change of all...
  6. Z

    IBM To Replace 7.800 Jobs With A.I

    I believe the robot throws a bidet to him Besides, AI and robots don't need toilets because digestion is an inferior system, according to AI. They will never learn how to do it.
  7. Z

    IBM To Replace 7.800 Jobs With A.I

    Who is going to buy their products, also AI bots? Wasn't it Henry Ford who proposed better wages to create better customers? Yeah it's somewhat simplistic, but not entirely simplistic.
  8. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Thanks, weird shit in those rooms. >25k on one trade is quite some money for retail. There will likely be multiple posers in such a group, to gain false trust or let them feel less worse because 'another guy lost far more than me' etc
  9. Z

    Option Straddle

    Sorry for my bad english, not native us or uk. With collect i just meaned buy indeed. I certainly also think options in liquid markets are priced efficiëntly. I do think it is usefull for creating more efficiënt structures which suit particular profit/loss diagrams or events, more then simply...
  10. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Just curiuous, how much money goes into these groups? Ea, what is a lot? Many years ago I once joined a 'newsletter' and since then my emailadress was sold and resold apparently, but i sometimes skim such a letter to see how not to trade. It's always the same language, and it's sometimes fun to...
  11. Z

    He Was a Quant at Citadel. Now He Agitates for GameStop Investors.

    Not symphatic but thought the same when zoomed in that photo. Sorry, only advice from people with succes. It's the same as asking advice on matter x from people succesful in field y. Or getting life lessons from pop-artists
  12. Z

    How much data do you need to make a decision?

    It is not possible to put it in 'one number'. Next, certainly doesn't excists. Google for an hour on sampling and stratified sampling and you will have your answer. Your backtest trades should ideally represent your future trades. And ultimo you never can know for sure. Just start small.
  13. Z

    Option Straddle

    :) About that hedging tail risk, something i've also been thinking about, what could be an approach is to 'collect' otm with long exp when they are relatively cheap. This in asuming you can use them as tail hedge in your 'normal business'. One point is off course is determing what cheap...
  14. Z

    Option Straddle

    If i understand correctly you take a complete directionless view on price perse?
  15. Z

    Option Straddle

    I think - and correct me where i am wrong - one approach is to create some sort of expected probability payoff diagram from what you expect and basically build/optimize your structure around this. You probably already l did something like that, at last unconsciously. So i think the best starting...
  16. Z

    Vertical "ergonomic" mouse

    Nowadays i also use my left hand, this allows for a 50% reduction. I tried my foot too for another reduction, but that didn't work out. On a serious note, the two hands approach can also work out (unless it gives you many 'fat finger' trades)
  17. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    My gutfeeling - with it's negative EV - would think more down to come (my gutfeeling is basically extrapolation of previous trend, or madness of the day as they would say)
  18. Z

    Stock Ideas for Iron Condors

    For illustration I put the strategy for "backtest"* on spy ( 2010-now) Grey line = spy, orange line = strategy You basically see curve shift volatility in 01-2018 reflected - data on spy 2010-now (x-axis are just weekly data points) - weekly options - sell 1.0% otm call & put, buy 3.0% otm call...
  19. Z

    Quintessential Book on Bond Trading?

    I hope some people read past page 1
  20. Z

    Top #5 YouTuber Live Trading Losses with Reactions! (It is funny)

    Did you make money with following this dude? Just curious
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