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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    wolfvector said i appreciate you support mr. wolfvector!
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    mhashe wrote nothing necessarily has to be different. you don't have to succumb to "not taking the harder trades" it's hard to be that disciplined and if you can't, by all means use a computer. or hire someone to implement your signals perfectly. we advocate a mechnanical approach...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    london us trader wrote i don't necessarily disagree with you on this. i have often said that i don't like to say never and it would not surprise me if there are people out there making money with techniques i consider to be wrong. i actually know guy who might be in the top thousandth...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    brun12 wrote oops. it's mean to be the highest close verses the lowest close. again, these are just basic building blocks here--no integrated system at this point. so all the biases mentioned suggest entering on an open, exiting on the close.
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    setharb wrote by the time i wrote my first book, i was trading several successful systems. my big struggle was i was also trying to trade on a non-system basis at the same time. (a whole myriad of psychological reasons behind that). that endeavor was a disastrous failure, culminating in an...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    i v trader wrote in theory you could accomplish your first question, although i don't know why you'd need to jump the gun like that. as for the second question, certainly that too is theoretically possible, and i've tinkered around with that in research (like i've looked at most everything...
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    Is trading Gambling or not .."What say You" Vote here.

    it's easy to confuse short term outcomes with longer term ones. even a casino is not sure if the next come out crap-roll is going to net the house a profit or a loss. they don't care. they have a positive mathematical expectancy built into their games. a person scalping in the pit is...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    i v trader wrote i'm using the emini futures for all the stock indexes. the computations use the 3:15 close as ground zero for the next day. i come up with 118400 for the two day average and 118500 for the five day. that's a buy bias(+1)
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    poundtherock said this was all a product of my own reseach. i will be posting trade station performance summaries substantiating the biases within the next few days.
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    setharb wrote i've looked at pivots (and just about everything else). i think i'm using some of the principles particualrly in exit strategies. (if you're long for x number of bars and a high is made with sucessively lower highs on each side, then you act. i don't know how exactly on...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    setharb wrote obviously, things like that are down to personal taste. i could tell you stories about some people that have ferocious negative feelings about richard dennis. i lean closer to the hero worship side. (not too close hopefully--i do want to maintain journalistic integrity)...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    setharb wrote hi seth- yes, tom willis is from willis and jenkins. he's a sharp, independent thinker and was actually featured in two of my books. "when supertraders meet kryptonite' and "market beaters". i'm most partial to market beaters because i'm such a mechanical system...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    Actually I'm not using CBOT products at the moment. I'm trading emini S&Ps, Nasdaq and Russell.
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    Here are my futures biases for tomorrow, October 17, using the above eight biases in nine futures markets. The futures markets are the following: 1. E-mini S&P 500 2. E-mini Nasdaq 100 3. E-mini Russell 2000 4. 30-Year Bonds 5. 10-Year Notes 6. 5-Year Notes 7. Yen Currency Futures 8...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    Here are my current bullish biases (+1). All reverse cases are bearish (-1). 1. The 2-day average is less than the 5-day average. 2. The close is greater than the 40-day closing average 3. The highest close of the past 50 days occurred before the lowest. 4. The close is greater than...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    How do I go about building mechanical systems? I identify simple market biases, some of which are not good enough to overcome trading edges. By assigning them +1/-1 strength/weakness values, however, and combining them with other such indicators, you can often get a whole significantly greater...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    I'm Art Collins, a published book author, lecturer, and a frequent contributor to Futures Magazine. I'm also a 17-year Chicago Board of Trade member, professional futures trader and mechanical system advocate. I'm here to share system ideas and for camaraderie, something I miss from my...
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