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  1. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    the euo trade has been in decline until months ago- Europe was stable-or so it seemed. Look at when this trade made the turn from decline to uptrend! in the last 9 months, this trade has been a winner-- outperforming in this period-
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    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    the IBB trade is also similar to PJP- adjoining market segments- likely some overlap in the two. IBB comes with a 0.84 Beta/3 years and a 3:1 outperformance to the $spx.
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    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    HOW ABOUT A TRADE/INVESTMENT THAT HAS OUTPERFORMED THE S&P BY 300+ % WITH LOWER VOLATILITY OVER THE PAST 5 + YEARS? No offense meant by the caps for those easily offended.! PJP has outperformed over this period 3:1+ with a 0.74 beta.past 3 years What is not to like? I've taken positions in...
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    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    quick note this Sunday 1.25.15 Remember all the past market fears over Europe and Greece? With the Swiss decoupling their currency, The situation seems to be anything but stable- Euro concern affected our markets in the past, Greece is again a hot spot. CNBC...
  5. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    Fear and Greed- What does it mean for each of us? Much of what i have read -and experienced- on trading -suggests that the reasons I and most other retail traders will fail to even market perform is that psychologically we have a greater need/ fear of protecting our winning trades from...
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    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    Thank you Eurusdzn for pointing this out- I traded EUO in the past year-but looking 'outside the box' I have somewhat limited myself to what is common within a narrowed trading universe. Such limitation also lowers one's opportunities to find momentum going in the positive direction. I...
  7. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    1.24.15 CAUTION and Fear I made a number of trades on Friday, despite the uncertainity the markets were showing. Overall, there are a lot of reasons to think that things could be bearish-going forward- and now is a good time to be cautious- But, there are always good reasons to be...
  8. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    Premarket thoughts Friday- USO- Saudi King dies- OIL is up 3%- Will be good for the XLE position- USO may go higher- I think USO would only be good as a short term momentum trade- for a few days- and XLE is the safer way to go USO as a riskier . I haven't decided. I'm Looking to buy SSO-...
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    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    dRAGHI SPOKE, ECB Will buy debt- Markets rallied today, and you have to be a short term bull- financials higher also! In the investment account, took a chance and put in orders to fill Friday to buy Euro pacific, emerging mkts, us mkts. Had a very large cash position in those accounts, put...
  10. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    DID SOME CHART HOMEWORK ON USO TONIGHT While there will be a pop in this at some point- and I have become an advocate of looking for an oversold trade- looking at the monthly chart of USO - I can only ask what is wrong with this product? I expect it is something that is hedged, or...
  11. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    XLE behaved as outlined towards the positive move higher- I added to this position in a separate account-
  12. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    XLE moved higher today as anticipated-I took larger positions in it and IBB in a separate account from the IB trading account. I'm not going to try to track combined gains/loss across these separate accounts- I will use the IB account/approach to track what occurs in that account...
  13. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    1.20.15 fOLLOWING A 3 DAY WEEKEND, Morgan Stanley disappoints- BAC is upgraded- BAC is considered a better value on Fast. IBM disappoints- Markets were down earlier, made a marginally slight higher close- Waiting on the ECB- and perhaps tonight's State of the Union- President 's...
  14. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    1.19.15 Quick journal note-Put in an unusually long work day- Home 9:30 pm and meetings 7am tomorrow. . Market closed due to the holiday- Set stops on XLE and GLD on the 2 hr- with some room as long as price behaves. I like taking the XLE trade here on this reversal-Close to the POF- Not...
  15. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    aS A FOLLOW UP : i did a bit of a napkin on the table price backtest using just the faster macd indicator on a weekly chart over the prior 3 years- The market returned 80%, and the macd weekly returned 55%- I expected higher results- perhaps i made a math error or missed an...
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    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    On Holding a losing trade- We've all likely done this. fundamental traders have beliefs about the value of their investments, and expect that the markets will eventually become conscious and come to the same rational conclusion. Traders should not have the same excuse to stay in a losing...
  17. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    I put some Investment dollars to work at the close on Friday- Monies I had withdrawn in December, and felt that now was a good time to step in on this pullback- Having a bit of Buyer's remorse at what may just be a market bounce here- I'm sure many can relate to getting into a trade too...
  18. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    COMPARING SECTORS- XLF-$SPX- and SPY I find this 3 year chart interesting- for several reasons- It shows how closely the financial sector tracks the $SPX- very highly correlated in recent times- while periods of underperformance in the xlf initially. When adding the SPY into the chart...
  19. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    when to hold em and when to fold em? Holders of individual stocks can be rewarded with a stock leading it's sector higher- or being a laggard on the sector performance- Holders of the ETF will have to settle for the averaged performance the ETF delivers for it's combined holdings. One may...
  20. S

    long term position trading -primarily etf's-

    Got in 3 pm- Market was in rally mode across most sectors- with energy the stimulus- Not trying to fight the momentum, I raised all stops to just below the swings made intraday, and all in short order (pun intended) stopped out. Additionally, I bought partial positions in XLE and GLD- at...
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