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If one never bothers to test anything, then you are correct.

So much that can be tested . . .

Spooky

If you're lazy, trading is not for you. Trading pays well for some. It bankrupts just about everybody else.

Or one could think of buying the strawberries as buying an option . . .

And yet another something to test. Also lots of examples around, easy to find.

Something to test. Lots of examples around, easy to find.

Which is what this thread is supposed to be about. Now under what conditions might these odds change? (See ND's post)

Maybe. There is also a daily context that is of benefit to PATs. See Gringo's charts.

Characterizing your market is "magical thinking"? Do you know what characterizing one's market means? :rolleyes: Sorry. Of course not. I forgot whom I was asking.

Indeed.

Good thing it's not real money :)

. Beware of Greeks bearing gifts . . .

Makes me want to watch On the Beach :)

I realize that the only people who are going to see these are insomniacs, dairy farmers, and Europeans, but we don't want to be accused of hindsight, now do we? The primary way I've learned to trade is to study market behavior and build an understanding of it. If you're not distracting...

All the more reason to work on a thoroughly-tested and consistently-profitable trading system, along with an investigation into dividend-paying stocks, perhaps in ETF form. Those who are still waiting for the return of 10% interest on their CDs should most likely smack themselves upside the head...

Excellent questions, along with where should the stops be, if any, and if any, what kind, and what targets should be used for scaling in and out.

And before this particular setup resolves itself, those who've followed my threads know how important context is to me. So . . . And while my use of freely-available online charting is a subject of great hilarity amongst the trolls, those who've followed me through my journals understand...

Naturally I knew quite well before I started that this thread would become a troll magnet. Maybe not immediately but eventually. But those who are annoyed by the intrusions can avoid them by using Ignore. And as the pluses of such a thread far outweigh the minuses . . . I hope ND won't object...