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Shorted SPY at 126.6.

Nice divergence this morning, confirmed by VIX. Did anybody trade this?

You might want to consider the value of the $VIX: 3-4-5-6 years ago the index was swinging at 20 and above, this year was below 16. I doubt this is the result of too much money chasing the same idea: http://ideas.repec.org/h/rba/rbaacv/acv2003-07.html

LOL I gotta keep hanging on this site....

$VIX not confirming the last setup. An increase in IV might indicate momentum acceleration. Again, if I have access to a log of the last few months trades I can check this indicator against more setups.

This will be my last post to the thread as the set of rules I'm following doesn't follow the original dummy methodology anymore, although the main idea is still there. Over the last month I traded a total of 197 setups averaging 2c/per share traded (4c on a round trip). The percentage of...

NPP, can you post a log of the last 20/30 trades? I might have something based on the vix that improves the system, but I need more losers to confirm.

I look for stocks with high relative volume (at least 50% or more) and highest/lowest relative strength.

34, live in NYC, grew up in Milan. Started trading 9 months ago, mostly listed stocks. Recently had good results trading nasdaqs and nyses volatility range breakouts.

Amazing. As soon as I put down that statement, the stock loses 50c. Great call.

This PETS looks like a school case to me. Good relative strength, decreasing volumes on the pullback, support levels all along the hike. I'm in at 14.68, lets see how wrong I am.

Woops, I missed on that but definitely a very good setup. Congratulations.

My original post was about hedging with SPY or QQQQs. I'm assuming you're referring to other ETFs. When the spyder would not be borrowable?

I haven't tried with ETFs but I can definitely bypass the specialist if I want to trade ECNs. We're talking about different exchanges though (amex vs. nyse) and different products (stocks vs. ETFs).

I don't understand the reason for this restriction. For listed stocks, if I want to trade through arca rather than the specialist, I just get a fill on arca, or another ECN, or nasdaq. If I don't get the best market price set by NY that's my problem. I didn't ask to go out at market. Why is...

Right, it depends how you define liquidity. The larger $ volume traded, the more interesting the future vs. SPY. Although until a certain number of contracts (say, more than 5) I don't see the liquidity benefit given the prints that go on the tape for SPY. Just to make sure, the data you...

What you're saying is that if amex is quoting the best, then you can't skip them and trade on the ECNs, or NY, at a worse price? What if the ECNs show the same quote than amex?

ok. my translation: AMEX sucks, but in 2006 they will be forced to route orders to the the best markets. I was checking SPY quotes today: ECNs are already providing a lot of liquidity at the best prices. Most of the fills were on the ECNs, some on NY and regionals.

Interesting, I actually thought the SPY was thicker than the ES. So long term tax rate on 60% profits and leverage explain why most of the ET index trading discussions are about ES, YM and minis, I'm assuming.

So as I understand it the only advantage to hedge with the future vs. the SPY would be the 60% long term tax rate (of course, it's all relative to the future P&L). SPY spread doesn't look like an issue anymore.