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Break even stops protect equity from sudden reversals and are useful but they should be placed when it is safe to do so after making sufficient gains. In the markets we have with many robot algos they are a must.

What is the difference between infinite time in one universe and finite time in infinite universes? I see none.

Trends for funds are not the same as trends for intraday traders. They have to invest volume. The trends must be robust and long lasting. Some funds have recovered but there are questions as to whether this will last. Here is another thread with good intro to hypothesis testing from Abattia...

Abattia, thank! Excellent! One question: what do you mean by “over the immediate practical future”. How long is that for swing trading for example?

Excellent points. Only a tiny portion of what worked before up to 2000s worked now. A review of all trading books that had backtesting results will convince any skeptic. Data-mining has destroyed most of edges. My guess is that oif before the 2000s existed X number of edges, now the number id...

Desperate move to put AAPL, a seller of Chinese made goods, in the Dow.

I agree.

Everything that moves in any timeframe but I prefer swing.

I am curious how they will do this month. It seems to me that the hope are high for continuing trend in stocks and most funds have moved away from commodities because of lack of liquidity and now follow stock trend.

Good luck to you. (I don't trade options)

The Fed always controls the market, rallies and correction, including crashes. This is the way it is and this is the way it will be. Talk about rate increase is by insiders to squeeze out weak hands so that they can buy the company stock lower. Here is the best explanation why the Fed won't...

I warned you, didn't I?

Also in a great market there are winners and losers.

Random traders breakeven if they do a good random trade to cover cost. He should do at least 20%/yr before going algo. Otherwise his money will be taken in a few days/weeks. I remember the times I was playing around with friends with an IB account. We would select a stock with more than 1M...

A 10-year note with 0 coupon sells at 100. To have negative yields you pay 110 for example with 0 coupon rate and you get 100 at maturity. You pay the government to finance their social welfare programs of millions who prefer to get paid and do noting, a rising trend. Take your money to a...

Over a very long period of time you do not need to backtest because the best system is buy and hold by far. Only for short-period, 10 years or less you want to backtest to see if you can outperform.

I wait for your suggestion of an indicator that does better than "feel".

My most advanced and robust indicator based on my my "feel" of the market expects a correction this week. Anyone feels the same? P.S. "Feels" is the most advanced indicator

trend = hindsight.

Very few people in all countries can hide taxes. the majority of the population gets a paycheck. US multinationals hide income offshore and pay 3% tax. The biggest tax evador are US multinationals. Vardoufakis uses this as an argument o convince EU for more money. Rich people just take their...