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    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Keep doubling down creampuff.
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    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Shawman anxiously awaiting opportunity to post "green by lunchtime".
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    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Shawman advises doubling down on the aberrant lower open to be made whole. If that doesn't work, he'll usually step aside till the smoke clears.
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    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Mr Shawman feeling confident about the prospects of the first positive Friday close in 2020. We shall see.
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    Why not use call Options in a bull market? (BTC/ETH)

    Another oversimplification of options.
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    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Never. "It's a club and you ain't in it".
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    This Dak Prescott is a bad QB

    Wildchild resents all athletes, he's pretty consistent across the board. Helps when you know that he was last picked in every playground sport as a kid.
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    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Shawman should be making an appearance soon. Take notes, Jason C.
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    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    You need Rick Shawman's Master Class on market punditry.
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    Pekelo Plays the Ponies

    I'd be impressed if you went long 3293 for the ride into 3330. Hardest thing to do, IMO, is have your finger on the trigger biased to one side of the action while simultaneously entering and holding the opposing position.
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    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Always the same, no reason to ever expect otherwise.
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    Overnight ES futures straddle

    If implied vols decline, then on rallies the calls wont gain much while the puts decline at an accelerated pace.
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    China Central Bank to Supply $174 Billion for Virus-Hit Markets

    I will say that AMZN up 8-10% on Friday with the NQ being sold ugly the whole way down was very spring 2000 to me. If you remember back 20 years ago there was a point when Nasdaq was going full bore parabolic with dow basically flatlining. These recent dislocations last week with Tesla and...
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    China Central Bank to Supply $174 Billion for Virus-Hit Markets

    I agree, but we've all known this for years. The progression from the 2008 bailout vote thru QE1, QE2, QE3, the Yellen flip-flop, the Powell flip-flop, now Repo-gate. It's moral hazard to the nth degree. Each crisis requires an exponential leap forward in "liquidity provisions" to keep the...
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    So, is my newb math right regarding these SPY puts?

    Yes, absolutely, but at some point he'd have to decide when and where to dump the SPY shares or roll out the puts to a further date and/or strike price lower. The problem, of course, is that if the market were to drop 30-40% in the next year the cost for protection would increase dramatically...
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    WTF We have Coronavirus and ATH

    The script has been in place for a decade. Anything that threatens the status quo is met with ever more liquidity. Now that this virus is going to hurt the numbers going forward, it implies even more dovish-ness. Let's face it, two weeks ago, fundamentals weren't really a focus, it was merely...
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    So, is my newb math right regarding these SPY puts?

    Well there is also the potential of the market dropping 35% between now and Jan 15, 2021. At expiration your put expires worthless and your underlying SPY shares are down 35% with nothing to offset the drawdown.
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    Options on futures WTF?!?!

    You can still typically fill at the mid-price. Also depends on DTE and other factors such as strike price, etc.
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    Options on futures WTF?!?!

    ES futs options have 3 expirations per week (M/W/F), plus end of month expirations. Liquidity is good, spreads are reasonably tight, etc. It's about the only thing I like to trade in binary markets such as these. (FWIW I traded ES futures since they launched in the 90's, but for holding...
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