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  1. rb7

    Coming back (almost) from the cliff

    Was it with your 'What Cramer loves' strategy?
  2. rb7

    dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

    IMO, Anyone doing Door Dash delivery in bicycle shouldn't do real trading... It would be a bit like a homeless guy wearing Hugo Boss suit. It just doesn't fit!
  3. rb7

    Coming back (almost) from the cliff

    That's a hell of a strategy.....
  4. rb7

    "AHA" Moment - Finding confidence

    Exactly, doing 10 pts in 45 minutes is nice, but averaging 8 pts/day, day after day, 250 trading days a year, is another ball game. And besides that, why are you trading only 1 contract if you are that good (which I don't think otherwise)?
  5. rb7

    XRP train about to leave

    I don't do chart trading, so my question might be dumb, but why are you stating that it should go up?
  6. rb7

    "AHA" Moment - Finding confidence

    An average of 8 points a day per contract (for ES), I don't think it should be considered as a 'conservative estimate of profitability'. I'm not saying it's impossible, but it's sure improbable. It's always easy on paper or in an Excel spreadsheet. But when you face the real world, the first...
  7. rb7

    ES (emini futures) commission

    + Exchange & Reg fees. That's the difference.
  8. rb7

    The best laptop/portable monitor screen size is 17.3 inches

    In the 80' and 90' I used to code market forecasting models using these: On the TI-99 (first pic), I had to save the code with a tape recorder on a 4 track cassette. Kids these days have it easy...
  9. rb7

    Anyone have any experience with "Landshark Capital"

    They teach because they cannot make money from the market. If they would make money, they wouldn't teach, as simple as that. They keep teaching because hopeless wannabee traders keep buying their shit. If someone is willing to teach you how to make money, it's because they are making more...
  10. rb7

    any way to sell sanctioned security?

    You probably need to call IB trading desk and they will put the order for you manually.
  11. rb7

    Is this over-fitting

    You're right if your definition of forward test is using real time data. So in you example, yes, you would need to wait 7.5 years, which is not very practical. I should have given more details. A strategy is optimized using a optimization data set. Once you find one with good results, you then...
  12. rb7

    Is this over-fitting

    1) What was your backtesting period used? 2) Once you backtest a strategy with good results, you need then to forward test it for at least half the backtesting period used. It's even a good idea to forward test on a period prior to the one used for backtesting. 3) Re-optimizing a strategy after...
  13. rb7

    Lack of bid offer on ACI call 19 April expiration

    MM don't hedge each time they trade cause their positions are netted. They make their money from buying at the bid and selling at the offer ('the spread'). And don't worry, they'll make money even (or especially!!) if they don't offer you a good price. If you don't want to trade against MM (or...
  14. rb7

    Lack of bid offer on ACI call 19 April expiration

    You know, when we're referring to Market maker, we are not referring to a single individual sending quotes manually, and deciding or not to quote on a particular strike. A MM can have hundred of thousands of series to quote on. So it's all done automatically based on pre-defined parameters.
  15. rb7

    I do not trust this rally !

    Rally? Which rally?
  16. rb7

    The Ferrari SUV

    Ok now it's time to pump up the profit...
  17. rb7

    Why Trading is so Hard

    Trading is easy. Being profitable with trading is not. Being profitable with trading in the long run is even worst.
  18. rb7

    Do smart-routed hidden limit GTC orders participate in opening auctions?

    What trading instrument type are you referring to?
  19. rb7

    Index futures automation

    At least you're making money, and I don't recall having seen one single red day. And I don't think that everybody else is doing +1,2,3,5% a day, every single day.
  20. rb7

    This is a “ take the money and run “ market

    Good point, but the thing is, we never know when the market will switch from choppy to trendy. Days are not all choppy or trendy. A day might be choppy in the morning and trendy in the afternoon. So if you stop after a win in a morning choppy market, you might miss the trendy market in the...
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