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if you are doing a road trip, start from arizona, drive up to grand canyon. then drive to LA, and then up the coast to SF. that should be good

great post. theory is most dangerous when applied to the real world when assumptions are commonly violated

well if you take 1000 samples and do a lag 1 regression and there is a weak autoregression indication, that means the trial is biased

LOL.

this is great. more statistical fun =)

i'm surprised that no random walkers are trying to disprove the lag 1 regression argument or provide other "proof" :p

hee funny. yup, the big money is still at the bulge brackets and hedge funds.

Seriously. teachers are chronically the most underpaid professions. how can the profession attract talent when there is so little incentive?

That's true. To see if she really is good, see how long she lasts. Connections, family etc will get you in the door. whether you last is up to ther person's ability

KJKent, Yes, it is just a linear correlation function, but the main point was that this function shows that price at t depends on price at t-1. Price t could be the price 5 min ago and t-1 is price 10 min ago. The fact that there is positive autocorrelation by definition shows that the...

if this was true it just means that the dow is distributed binomially. but i think the confusion is: a random variable can be distributed in many types of distributions. if and only if the market was random, it can be distributed with any type of distribution. thus the argument is not...

i actually think we need more teachers to be paid higher... to increase the quality of education

in that case investing in treasuries and rolling them over is ideal - you will have 0 drawdown and a guaranteed return and an infinite return on drawdown. you have to take into consideration something like the sharpe, sortino or omega ratios. just taking drawdowns into consideration is...

just sounds like you are describing a market maker

and you're close to the beaches...

if are a member of any of the exchanges you can get an office in a clearing firm... that is if you are going to trade derivatives. i know fortis has some empty offices that you can use. they are in the cbot building

Go live by UCI. there's many young and festive freshman girls there =p

Very interestingly enough, several studies that have "zero intelligence" traders have shown to exhibit the same bubble forming patterns as the internet bubble,real estate bubble, tulip bubble, etc

i use 2: regcleaner and registry mechanic. they both work well and i've had no probs

very true. and the whole random walk theory was created through assumptions such as the price as a martingale, etc. but the evidence suggests otherwise, positive autocorrelation in even a simple AR(1) model. Further, volatility is not constant, and not stochastic either. so the point is that...