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You need broker relationships to get granular analyst estimates. A good source for consensus would be Bloomberg, Factset, CapIQ, Refinitiv, and Visible Alpha.

Intraday I like to look at: - US2Yr and 10Yr Yields - Implied 6-12m Fed funds futures - 1y2y and 2y2y forwards - DXY and gbp, eur, and yen - VIX current month vs 1m vs 2m futures - delta AVAT% - economic calendar & news flow - clusters of options (volume and oi) on strikes for near term (daily...

1) you may be confusing your long MA strategy with the markets general profile (historically has moved higher over time); what you’re not thinking about is the large drawdown risk, it is essentially the same risk as buying and holding 2) prices don’t mean revert in shorter timescales because...

That’s not true and is also not consistent with some of your trading tactics (“buy breakout, sell breakdown”). Prices are mean reverting between informational events, but *you* do not know if price holds information (of subsequent flow). Most of the moves in the market are not things you can...

You’re going insane and failing because the people who told you that you can make money trading 1 minute charts lied to you. Trading is very hard and even the best traders struggle to generate 20-30% consistently, much less 1000% lol. You need to reset your expectations and forget all of the...

Dividends are carry you get to hold the asset. If the carry is greater than what you can make on IG then it could potentially be interesting, but the total return on the stock still needs to beat your hurdle rate. e.g. market return is 10%, bond yield is 4% Stock A: 5% Div yield, 6% cap gain...

Have you ran a backtest of the strategy ?

Lol what

you’re losing money because there is no trade there lol. You’re just gambling and don’t have an actual source of excess returns. Seeing breakouts on charts is not gonna help you lol. If your goal is to capture the return of intraday momentum, then you need to conduct a deeper study of it (hint...

You should read Adam Iqbals book (he was head of g10 fx at Goldman) instead. Look up these concepts: - international fishers effect - carry trade - interest rate differentials Forwards on rates embed market expectations on where rates will go. Use differentials on those to determine current...

Lmfao but on a more serious note, what’s the catalyst?

8% of net liquidity in TLT Feb 105 strike

Necessary evil? You sound like you struggle to learn, tbh. *shrugs*

okay but it doesn’t strike me that you’re trying to make friends either, based upon your comments towards @taowave The value of this website is getting to talk to and learn from people like him for free.

lol you’re an idiot speaking to a professional (& highly profitable at that).

Lol in a trillion-dollar-a-day market no one cares about hunting your stop :D

Ah… yeah you’d need to open up like an IBKR account in another country to go short. if you don’t have a way to go short then the way you theoretically would reduce risk is by creating a benchmark of returns comprised by equity returns and cash yield, weighted to your risk preference (how much...

Short the etf, vs your long momentum exposure. I would also analyze the drivers of momentum and look for non-macro momentum drivers such as earnings. Then filter your long ideas by your factor preference. so: long factor filtered momentum names vs. short etf You should be beta neutral (beta...

The only book you need lol: Sick Of Gambling!: Powerful Techniques To Quit Your Gambling Addiction & Take Back Your Life https://a.co/d/2Cf2gEM

hi there — I’m a profitable trader with a background in g10 macro (rates & fx) at a bulge bracket. Much of the information online about trading, especially in the fx market, is gibberish sold by brokers or the clueless. I recommend you first unlearn what you have learned and then start to...