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  1. zghorner

    Shroom Induced Short Essay - Relating Life to the Market - Philosophy on Progress

    Think of a lifelong chart. If green represented positive emotions and red negative, along with the power of the ever varying emotional experiences being the Volatility that drives it: [from Crippling Despair (extremely negative) <to> Blissful Joy (extremely positive)] -> The more intense the...
  2. zghorner

    MAs.. usefulness comes and goes

    My first futures trading "system" was a crudely thought of MA crossover trigger. I have learned since that indicators on their own are completely worthless...being derivatives of price (or volume) they put you in the trade too late and much of the meat has been left on the bone...you get in...
  3. zghorner

    How crazy am I to believe that this system can work live?

    - Would recent data be exponentially more import? - How likely is it that systems are being modified unfavorably to suit conditions not relevant to today? - What is the expected life of an automated system before it requires tweaking? Obviously performance needs to be constantly monitored to...
  4. zghorner

    How crazy am I to believe that this system can work live?

    to be diligent historical data would be best. If winging the value just depends on the instrument. This is a big reason why I only trade a single liquid instrument during its most liquid hours only...helps bridge the gap between fantasy and reality. lol, i posted this in my recent thread...
  5. zghorner

    How many balances did you lose?

    still on first account, started in June 2019. Would have blown up several times if I had started with a small account. Major regret not doing so. edit: just noticed this was forex...I've never traded forex never plan to.
  6. zghorner

    How crazy am I to believe that this system can work live?

    agree on PF being too low. would also like to see MFE, MAE, and ETD in tick form. how are you figuring ETD? MFE - Exit for profitable trades I am assuming. What figure do you put in for ETD when the trade goes against you from the start and you get stopped out? MFE (which will be close to...
  7. zghorner

    Doing Some Backtesting by Hand for the first time, have a few ?s

    thank you, i use market orders for this type of trading. Small position sizing and only trading liquid hours I feel like market order is the way. you agree?
  8. zghorner

    Doing Some Backtesting by Hand for the first time, have a few ?s

    Nice, I use tradingview and didn't realize this was available, thank you.
  9. zghorner

    Doing Some Backtesting by Hand for the first time, have a few ?s

    just looking for advice. useful metrics to add, strengths/weaknesses of the system, where to look for improvement based on the numbers, etc...
  10. zghorner

    Doing Some Backtesting by Hand for the first time, have a few ?s

    added second trade for today and double checked my numbers, added premove ticks+time and see some value there. tomorrow will add more.
  11. zghorner

    Doing Some Backtesting by Hand for the first time, have a few ?s

    Ya. Taking care to make entry/exit points conservative to allow for stuff. CL is pretty liquid during my trading hours which also helps with the gap between test and live.
  12. zghorner

    Doing Some Backtesting by Hand for the first time, have a few ?s

    This is trading CL futures front month only, 15m candles, between certain daily hours + volatility level as condition for entry, both entry and exit signals are extremely simple and easy to spot. My initial system of this style looked good to the eye and did well in trending markets but got...
  13. zghorner

    What would you do if you were me?

    so learn the language. great start. Isn't this exciting?
  14. zghorner

    What would you do if you were me?

    Yea F that, I'd split. like all things easier said than done...and from a different perspective. but In 40s you only have a few decades left to get "it"...opressive gov't is enough to leave on its own so this is a no brainer so new plan @Randalli Step 1: hurry up and figure out what country...
  15. zghorner

    What would you do if you were me?

    Other Peoples Money
  16. zghorner

    What would you do if you were me?

    easy isn't an option. you want some clear path given to you that will lead to where you want to go. first off...where do you want to go? what do you want to do? what do you want to be? (these are rhetorical questions...please don't answer them bc i don't care). honestly i dont even know what...
  17. zghorner

    What would you do if you were me?

    step 1 for me would be find a girlfriend. If you aren't busting daily then what's even the point of anything? step 2: idk, move somewhere else when you cant trade US markets.
  18. zghorner

    "The King of Oil: The Secret Lives of Marc Rich" -> Discuss

    yeaaaaaa they look like a "profits at any cost" sort of outfit.
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