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I just noticed a mistake on my prediction spreadsheet. I forgot to rob Michigan of half it's delegates. The new numbers come out a bit different: Romney -- 63 Huckabee -- 60 Giuliani -- 46 McCAin -- 29 Thompson -- 14 Paul -- 4

I'm sure there are many Mormons who don't support him, but the vast majority support him in the polls. Every time his campaign managers try to organize groups to do some campaigning they are incredibly limited by the church. The church doesn't allow him to come speak at gatherings or use...

All minorities can make whatever destiny they want. One can rant all day about how blacks just want the g'ment to bail them out, or that Mexicans just want free healthcare without contributing to the system. Or whatever other stereotype seems appropriate. In the end there is only one thing...

Yeah, in regards to Ron Paul, the most interesting thing came in the analysis after the debate. 90% of the focus group said Thompson won and Ron Paul did the worst. The H&C text message poll had Paul winning the debate at 35% with nobody even close to him. That is what plagues RP. He's...

Analysts seem to forget that the system allows the candidate with a few golds and many silvers to win. It's all about delegates, not about 1st place finishes. Unfortunately for Giuliani, it really does hinge on Florida. Without a win there, NY and Cali won't win it for him. He'll be more...

My prediction on delegate count going into Super Tuesday on the GOP side are as follows. Huckabee -- 73 Romney -- 70 Giuliani -- 46 McCAin -- 32 Thompson -- 14 Paul -- 4 SC and Florida being winner-take-all states is key. Huck obviously benefits most from SC and Giuliani from Florida...

I'm with you on this one. The close one is GB covering 8 points, but I'd still bet GB even giving 8. NE won't have any problems covering at 13 1/2. I'd even take them giving 16. Pats passing is gonna pick them apart. Not only is SD not gonna cover 9 points, but they are gonna lose the...

Just as important to me is that we have a break from families tied to oil. Why is it that belonging to a family in the oil business qualifies someone to run for president? It would seem that ties to oil would present an insurmountable conflict of interest and automatically disqualify that person.

Alright then, who is/are most intelligent?

Yeah, if we count HW Bush as VP in 1981 and then assume that Hillary wins and serves two terms till 2017. That's 36 years of the same two families in the presidency. With any luck we would then have Jeb Bush running and get the Bush family back for a another 8. Just about the time that he...

Sounds like Ron Paul is your guy if you think he has a shot. Next best thing IMO, Mitt Romney.

Ahhh... but you've just stumbled upon the constant struggle between the the senate and the "executives" throughout history. Regardless of whether the executive was an emperor, king, president, etc. The senate always "knows exactly how things should be done". Always griping that the nation...

#1 rules out any of the DEMs as well as Huckabee. #2 Depends on your stance. But it sounds like you've eliminated DEMs there too. As far as the GOP goes it depends whether you like amnesty. If you don't then you've again ruled out Huck as well as McCain. #3 it depends on what part of it...

Which is your most important? Unfortunately you won't get all those things from a single candidate.

That went down differently than I had thought on several points. My overall impressions: i) First and foremost, Thompson stepped up his game dramatically. I'm giving him "most improved". Generally regarded as dry and boring during the past month, someone lit his shorts on fire last night...

You've pretty much hit the nail on the head with most of this. Conspiracy has nothing to do with it. Fact is that people aren't smart enough to understand what he is saying. Most voters don't even want to try to learn about those topics. Therefore he only has very distinct niche appeal. Not...

That's been my experience too. Not even a single mention of Romney. I've been surprised so far. I understand where the concern comes from regarding Romney taking orders from church headquarters. If I weren't attending the meeting to see the separation you speak of, I would also assume the...

Agreed. That was my whole point though. It's crazy for a pastor to endorse a candidate from the pulpit. What a stupid way to give up tax exempt status.

I wouldn't say newbie, but I wasn't even alive in the 60's. :) Wasn't aware that you have Mormon family. Anyway, I've never been to a meeting where anyone even suggested collecting email lists. Of course, where I live, such forms of contact aren't really necessary. Romney also doesn't...

Well, I don't really know what you mean by the way "Mormons do it". I haven't gotten any e-mail, letters, fliers, etc. Maybe I'm just not popular. In any case, that's why I was skeptical of the rumors I was hearing. Thinking to myself that these preachers are incredibly gutsy if they are...