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  1. bone

    Crude Oil Inventories February 24, 2021

    The US Crude Oil Market is an analog of the US Equity Market. Even during March of 2020 where supply far outstripped demand - the WTI contract mirrored the S&P 500. I traded Energy Commercially and for a Hedge Fund during the course of my career. The insane amount of North American supply...
  2. bone

    Powell once again saying inflation is soft! What a damn joke!

    Show me your convincing data-point inflation metrics, and I'll short Treasuries outright. Until then, this is your one millionth post on the stock market. It is what it is. You trade the market in front of you, not the one you fantasize about.
  3. bone

    Maryland is the first state to tax digital advertising

    I don’t know what’s true and what’s not - my only firm conviction is that at some inflection point taxes encourage avoidance.
  4. bone

    Maryland is the first state to tax digital advertising

    This is what the VAT wrought: https://www.milkenreview.org/articles/the-curse-of-cash “A rough estimate for the absolute size of the eurozone underground economy would be $3 trillion.“
  5. bone

    Maryland is the first state to tax digital advertising

    I read a paper a few years ago by the Milken Institute - the underground cash economy of the EU is insane due to the VAT. The OECD says it’s somewhere between 4 - 17%.
  6. bone

    Maryland is the first state to tax digital advertising

    In Europe, this "digital tax" was added on top of the 20% VAT that Google, Apple, and Amazon were already paying to the EU.
  7. bone

    Maryland is the first state to tax digital advertising

    Europe tried this, but Tech found a way around it. Google, Apple, and Amazon simply added a 2% surcharge to citizen customers in the Countries who were implementing the tax. So it ends up being an additional tax on European businesses who advertise - NOT on big tech. So big tech will simply...
  8. bone

    Maryland is the first state to tax digital advertising

    I'm sure this will work out great for Maryland.
  9. bone

    What moves the market on daily basis

    Buyers taking liquidity and Sellers taking liquidity are what "moves" the markets. in other words - Buyers lifting offers and Sellers hitting bids.
  10. bone

    With spoofing, is there any meaningfulness by eye to the order books?

    There are options market makers but nobody makes markets in the popular higher volume names at least as far as futures markets go. There's no money in it and you're damned lucky just to cover it. There are market makers in the London Metals Exchange and the OTC Swaps Markets (mostly energy) -...
  11. bone

    Bond brokers

    Personally when I traded the basis, I used Cantor-Fitzgerald, Brokertec, and at times Garban (ICAP). {{ These are the REAL dealers, btw }} The bid/ask for OTR issues will be just about as tight as the futures during US trading hours. The bigger Chicago FCMs will offer access to the US...
  12. bone

    How often have tax cuts for the rich trickled down? Never.

    The article you quote is quite misleading by design. The link I provided above gives Senator Warren's entire wealth tax plan that she touted during her Presidential campaign - and it's for more than billionaires.
  13. bone

    How often have tax cuts for the rich trickled down? Never.

    The two leading proponents of the wealth tax in the United States are calling for 2% annual at $50M individuals and 1% for $30M married or 1% on $16M single filing. This "wealth tax" proposed by Senators Sanders and Warren is on individuals and households and it's based on gross asset...
  14. bone

    How often have tax cuts for the rich trickled down? Never.

    It's a naive article and an insane idea with disastrous ramifications. A 1% wealth tax on the top 1% is going to cost jobs and I'll tell you why. It doesn't differentiate between pure liquid cash wealth and assets invested in job creation and job maintenance. A restaurateur with three...
  15. bone

    CME EMINI SP500

    There has to be a first time where a Wave Counter is correct.
  16. bone

    How often have tax cuts for the rich trickled down? Never.

    The danger and intellectual laziness with the OP's premise is lumping everyone in with "billionaires". The vast majority of employers in the United States are small businesses with an LLC structure. That type of business owner will typically have the majority of his or her net wealth tied up...
  17. bone

    CBOT 30Y T.Bond

    Targets to the downside are 164-00 and 156-00 on the long bond.
  18. bone

    Index Spread Traders

    I am not well versed on the current iteration of AutoSpreader - but several years ago, when one spread leg was filled you had the option of using a limit order to fill the remaining leg. I really don't need AutoSpreader because I am swing trading.
  19. bone

    the top is in

    I blame much of it on "Market Wizards". Proselytizing the necessity for calling macro trends.
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