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  1. dtrader98

    TA end of year poll

    Happy Holidays ET!
  2. dtrader98

    TA end of year poll

    trend is still alive. Where's all the bears, only a few days left to break the trend. Any last minute converts?
  3. dtrader98

    Sucker's rally

    Estimates were dropped from a multiyear growth of double digits to single digits this year. Did the markets drop on the anticipation? Nope. One more null in the anti -logic driven market. And the operating earnings were horrible. Markets .. mostly up. Moral of story, don't bank on earnings...
  4. dtrader98

    Your opinion of this positive expectancy

    "Average winner is guaranteed to be 25% larger than average loser. 3-10 trades/day." Why trade, when you could sell this system and be rich.:D
  5. dtrader98

    Rimm started to ring!

    Well, assuming they heard that from the options traders, I guess now you know whether to believe what the options traders spread to the news.
  6. dtrader98

    ETF question?

    if you are on record as a holder the last few days, you'll get it even if you sold today. However, you would have also seen that you paid the same amount if you had it today, by the gap difference in price vs. what it should have been.
  7. dtrader98

    My Favorite Market Trend Indicator: Bull/bear Sentiment

    Looks neutral right now. Similar to march climbing back up. Can take a while to climb all the way back to 60%. No guarantee it won't continue to pull back to the bear extremes either.
  8. dtrader98

    Options expiration pin action a myth?

    one thing i'll say about that if you are relying on iqauto. I don't think they are very accurate. If you know how to calculate the numbers yourself, go around to a few options chains and you'll find they can be very different from one another. If anyone here has manually calculated the strike...
  9. dtrader98

    Fundamental data download

    or you could just use yahoo finance or msn investor.
  10. dtrader98

    The M.I.N.D Game

  11. dtrader98

    obviously today will gap and trap !

    You guys are on a roll today. Late to the party shorts getting a little of the old xmas roasting right about now. Let's see if it lasts into days end... any takers?
  12. dtrader98

    The M.I.N.D Game

    Made me toss my morning coffee. Can't tell if it was from ROFLMAO or utter fear, man that's a creepy santa. Did ben send him to fill day trader wishes for the year?
  13. dtrader98

    options chain question

    Great, thanks for the replies.
  14. dtrader98

    options chain question

    Can someone list a good free accurate site for options chains.
  15. dtrader98

    Short & ultra-short ETFs paradox

    One more scenario, using perfectly "ideal" inversely correlated indexes. $1 ea investment. Long ETF cruises along, and cumulative gain breezes up, while short decays. One day, long takes a 99% (10sigma) hit:eek: . Because the weight of the cumulative index is hit so hard, the doubling of the...
  16. dtrader98

    Short & ultra-short ETFs paradox

    Seems like a good hedging strategy on the surface. Assume you had 5% daily gains on SPY from this day forward (fantasy, yes, but for hypothetical purposes...) and had invested $1 in each etf since SH's inception. It would ideally look like this. Plus side is your cumulative gain would...
  17. dtrader98

    Random Walk Theory Proved, once and for all.

    Pass the pipe. I remove any endorsements I may have mentioned earlier. What started out as a seemingly decent thread for debate has turned into one of the infamous ET appeal to lewis carroll's "alice in wonderland" argument based scientific threads. QED Piezoe, toss me some of that tea...
  18. dtrader98

    I Hope Everyone did the Standard Trading move here

    Here's an example of how many gaps were filled same day for S&P500 the last month. Only 2. Look how many are unfilled. I think the gap game is getting too many players, so they are taking that in consideration in normal days, and scalping gap faders.
  19. dtrader98

    I Hope Everyone did the Standard Trading move here

    flyfisher, I tend to like reading a lot of your comments as you seem to think a lot like the way i do. However, regrading gaps, I've been observing many gap fade failures lately. A lot of the gap ups have been getting half fills, then reversing and crushing shorts for a few days...
  20. dtrader98

    25 bps cut...

    Elevator dropped of panicked longs. Time for elevator to come back up a few floors, and let out a few shorts. Loving the volatility today.
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