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Regarding Avg Mean deviation, if you discretize each directional change to one of two binary values (much like a coin toss), the answer is that a stock sequence will very much resemble the average absolute deviation predicted by the sqrt(2n/pi) estimate-- further evidence of its random nature...

Generally, you can alter the set number to start with by a set seed command each trial if you want. This should randomize your sets of series better (If you are getting repeated series). To set the frequency of outcomes for each variable, you can simply use case statements with a uniform rng...

There is a free program put out by bullkowski, called patternz. Not sure if it will match your pattern, but there is a huge repository of known patterns built in (haven't played with it too much, but it's pretty nifty for what it is).

I'm almost certain they are using SOMs, which was originally showcased on a much older blogger site. http://image-swirl.googlelabs.com/html?query=trading#181 http://www.generation5.org/content/2004/aisompic.asp Very nice application of AI technology! Although, their app is still a...

For those of you expressing some interest in many of the ideas regarding pattern interpolation and behavioral bias, I highly suggest taking a look at this recent book. Very easy to digest, and many great gems embedded within (+ a bargain for the cost). It's not a book about trading...

Your comments sound like they could have been picked right out of the forums of late 2003. You can't get more real than what is actually happening right in front of your eyes. Don't worry about the whys, focus on the what is happening.

I've often had spy garbage that even very good spyware could not detect. If something doesn't seem right, it is likely there is something you don't want. When you are ready for the big guns, try combofix. But be very careful to use it; go to bullguard forums and have someone hold your...

Yes, you are correct, underlying market distribution shape is much closer to cloud silhouettes-- just make sure to call the Nobel prize committee and alert them of Merton, Black, and Scholes' asinine premise. LOL --------------------------------------------- you cannot discuss the beauty...

No wait... those are percentages? Ok, go back and read the final instruction again. Looks good! I was sidetracked by the fluctuating median in your graph. I'll let you think more about what that means. Nice job, Craig.

Not necessarily. It could be any value, but should be constant. Anything outside of zero is considered bias, but doesn't effect the results. You are concerned with dispersion around the median (and remember, reversion). I think you can get it. But so far, results are not at all what I expect.

I don't know what your logic is; it should be the rules I described. The results should converge to a stable value (much as you'd expect percentage of heads to asymptotically converge to 50% after many fair coin tosses).

No. Blue-looks ok. I don't know what the red line is, but if it is the median, it should be flat. There is no windowing in my description.

I try to be clear, but so far, I see I haven't been. Some things should be readily obvious to people who have familiarity with time series and statistics. Couple of things. 1) Every number a, b, and N observations (time values) should all come out positive, as a and b are a count of...

I think the idea is to get people to focus more on the hypothesis that randomness and edge are not mutually exclusive. And to posit an objective exercise that unlike common TA *ahem* cherry picking, demonstrates something that everyone can reproduce and there is no discrepancy in the...

Modern day Pythagorean society. And you sure seem to be fond of the golden mean. hmmmm. As is above, so is below?:D I also like the little animated quincunx machines used as wallpaper on the aakkozzll site. Thank you.

+1 And to make it worse, far too many journalists seem to exhibit dishonesty by propagating the common misconception.

I don't see anyone following up on maestro's concept of the arcsin or median deviation ratio concepts. Play with them and ask how they might translate to market strategies(or not). Also, why are the results not intuitive (from a coin toss perspective?). I don't think he'll spoon feed answers...

go to the hp website. Look for your printer under search, then find the latest driver-- download and install the executable file on your desktop. You should be ok from there. http://welcome.hp.com/country/us/en/support.html Or here just click on the download drivers and software...

Enlightenment?:D

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