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    CL Redux

    caveat -- there is a question as to whether some more damage will be done first, of course ;)
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    CL Redux

    its going up...always closes up on a friday after being under pressure...all the shorts will start covering here shortly....no one wants to be short over the weekend.
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    CL Redux

    crude looking kind of strong, feels like it might break out significantly
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    Underperforming by .7% this year. Shorting puts no longer as good

    time to start buying those cheap puts
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    HuggieBear's Official 2011 Thread of Market Domination

    Helluva start to 2011 Performance for Week 2: Weekly % Return = +2.6% Current DD = -1.9% (carryover from last year) MDD = -1.9% 2011 Total Return = +4.0% If things carry on at this pace, I'll double my money this year. Now, I know thats not going to happen, therefore logic...
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    CL Redux

    just closed at 89.50 for the loss....apparently i was down 70 ticks while i was making guacamole...stupid trade, lucky to get out at 20 ticks down should have stuck with my original thesis...NOTE TO SELF, charts dont matter (enough) when there is a supply issue
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    CL Redux

    went short at 89.30, just for a scalp...down trend is just too nice to pass up. stop at 89.50
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    CL Redux

    Think i will go long crude tomorrow...pretty good support at 87-88, and seems like there are some supply issues bubbling up. I might get lazy and buy some USO calls, or i might pick up some contracts tonight. I wouldn't be shocked if it dropped further, but i like the R/R buying here with a...
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    HuggieBear's Official 2011 Thread of Market Domination

    Off to a solid start... Performance for Week 1: Weekly % Return = 1.3% Current DD = -4.5% (carryover from last year) 2011 Total Return = 1.3% Let me start by saying I am in a range of positions nearly all of which make me uncomfortable. My perspective is...
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    HuggieBear's Official 2011 Thread of Market Domination

    While last years thread was reflective of my road from ruin to redemption, and contained all the best human foibles, including no shortage of greed and avarice, this years thread will be a much tamer affair. Herein I will document year 2 of my 5 year plan to become an individually wealthy...
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    HuggieBear's Thread of Public Shame

    End of Year Performance Review Full Year Stats: % Gain = 58% $ Gain = 82k Total Roundtrip Trades: 1617 Total Commissions Paid: 51k Equity Profit: $112k Equity Commissions: $3k Futures Profit: -$34k Futures Commissions: $40k Options Profit: -$15k Options...
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    HuggieBear's Thread of Public Shame

    A return from the depths.... Here are this weeks stats: Weekly Gain: +2.5% YTD Gain: 58% Current % drawdown: -5.8% After saying last week that I was going to paper trade my new commodity system until it incurred several losses in a row, I actually ended up trading it. I...
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    HuggieBear's Thread of Public Shame

    After further consideration, I've decided i can't be comfortable starting trading the new commodity system i've developed at this specific point. The system itself has far outperformed its historical average over the last six months, and the signals i'm getting are to buy commodities that are...
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    HuggieBear's Thread of Public Shame

    Absolute carnage...what began innocently enough has turned into a serious drawdown. Here are this weeks stats: Weekly Gain: -2.3% YTD Gain: 51% Current % drawdown: -8.0% I am long China, Vietnam, and Brazil, and all have been getting killed. I am not far away from stopping out...
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    how to build their understandable trading system trader

    Peter, At the outset, and before everything is already at the beginning, would you misconstrue that which is clear by its very being? A system given to hyperbole, indicators underneath layers of expertise when an agent is not available. Now, that, is what is possible when trying 100x...
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    Taking 410K to 4million by Year End 2010

    bummer week...the market is screwy right now (in my view)...that V move was especially screwy. I don't see how you can run automated trades on something being moved by a significant news event.
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    HuggieBear's Thread of Public Shame

    The carnage continues... Here are this weeks stats: Weekly Gain: -0.5% YTD Gain: 58% Current % drawdown: -5.8% Nearly everything continues to work against me. I have really slowed down my discretionary trading because i don't understand the market. Actually, i understand it...
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    The Rise and Fall of Mechanical Trading Systems

    proving a finite set of publicly available systems doesn't work doesn't prove mechanical systems don't work. who honestly would expect publicly available systems to work anyway? you don't really think its that easy do you? high frequency trading seems to produce profits...i assume those...
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    CL Redux

    i find opinion to be integral, especially when im right ;)
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