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You should be......

A 30 mile sprint through the hills of rural Colorado on a road bike did the same for me, but I only met the occasional dog that would try to give chase. You get a six pack just from the breathing. :D

I give a lot of credit to your book, Trend Following for opening my eyes to what this method has to offer. I'm still amazed that some of the old universal trend traders have not had to change their systems. Universal trend following never appealed to me, but I've found the method to be...

Based on your various posts, I can see that your niche is most likely taking the short side when overleveraged retail traders puke them out. This may be true for your style of trading.

Interesting observation. It would explain why certain time frames show usable trends while others are noise. Expounding further, one type of range system to harness the noise is just a trend system on a shorter time frame. :)

OP: Once you have a known good setup, it's all about the exits and trade size. It's hard holding onto a winning trade. It's even harder adding to it. It's easy take profits to get yourself out of the hot seat. Many, many price action based traders I've studied have spent great...

Good logic but it can be improved greatly with empirical testing. I'm not in this game to outperform the market. :D

I believe it is because options tend to blow up and have so little liquidity to begin with. I'm open to new information. ;)

You may be giving in to your human bias to search for patterns where none exist. You may be suffering from a subconscious compulsion to be right as often as possible, thus spending the majority of your effort on what is least valuable in a trading system (the entry setup). Why not pick a...

Exits and position sizing are far more important than entry.

You might be able to get the data from yahoo or google finance, depending on the markets. I've never tried correlation analysis, other than seeing how the general stock index looked when I made long or short trades on individual stocks. I found huge correlation just by plotting my trades on...

This whole argument can be settled with some forward test data on a real account. OP, are you game? :D

A couple years ago I got started in trading and had very good results with my first few trades. I had several subscription services that made money (sporadically). I quit my job to pursue trading full time. It was so easy at first. Two years later I'm working again and have basically...

... bounced off the 200 sma, exploded thru the 50 ... :D

1.42 to 1.27 in two months.

Ah, memories of Bob Prechter calling the top a couple years ago, explicitly stating "Don't buy this breakout!" He was recommending a maximum leverage short position to his subscriberz. He opened my eyes to the fallacy of gurus.

Most market behavior is due to irrational capital flows. It could be that the dumping of euros prompted capital flow into US stocks. Until a couple months ago, a strengthening dollar would correlate with falling stocks. Now it's the opposite: A weakening euro is correlating with rising...

Part of the reason the last hour goes against the trend is because day traders need to take profits.

I've got a couple systems that make money. They operate like tiny insects, reacting to stimuli, chasing after movement, processing very limited data from calibrated sensors. They don't have brains. They pick up the money that is dropped by humans who are infinitely more intelligent...

The gambler needs action, lights, sounds, girls, drinks, and a good time. The casino needs a positive expectancy. Your behavior is telling us you're in the market for more than just money. Are you a gambler?