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  1. Gazillionaire

    Probability and Trading

    Ok, the formula refers to some fibo no. P(n,2) = Fibo n+2 / 2^n For 5 tosses, what no. do you plug in for fibo no. for p(5,2)? i.e. what no. is fibo(7th) There seems to be an error in the example for p(10,2). In the denominator, how can 2^10 = 64?
  2. Gazillionaire

    Probability and Trading

    Referring to https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feller's_coin-tossing_constants In the example given, If we toss a fair coin ten times then the exact probability that no pair of heads come up in succession (i.e. n = 10 and k = 2) is p(10,2) = 0.1406263... Does this mean in 10 tosses, the...
  3. Gazillionaire

    best pair for scalping

    Indices futures are better for scalping. Forex is more for positional trades and a reference for indices whether there is risk on/off.
  4. Gazillionaire

    Time Series Analysis for Stocks

    This article gives a brief comparison between deterministic and stochastic models. https://www.kddanalytics.com/practical-time-series-forecasting-deterministic-stochastic-trend/ But how does a trading program keep switching between deterministic to stochastic model after price shocks when...
  5. Gazillionaire

    Time Series Analysis for Stocks

    Sounds good. Where can retail players get this model applied to indices or stocks like this website? https://www.macroaxis.com/forecast/spy Any insights/comments on this website simple model? What is the difference between the 2 models explained in layman terms?
  6. Gazillionaire

    Audacity Capital Q&A

    What's misleading is if you pay $600 monthly fee for a $100k acct but you restrict to use it like a $10k acct then it effectively becomes 600/10k = 6% interest rate monthly. That's 72% interest rate annually.
  7. Gazillionaire

    Audacity Capital Q&A

    As I mentioned before, steady looking profits is too idealistic. You are too amateurish to understand fat tail risk.Hedge fund guys used to laugh whenever someone talks about steady returns. To force a trade everyday is not funny and aim to make a profit everyday consistently is a joke. Only...
  8. Gazillionaire

    Audacity Capital Q&A

    And I am pretty sure you are a conman who have no idea about practical trading in realistic market conditions. I have met many of your kind selling investment programs to innocent victims with a laptop at coffee bean showing a "slow" rising equity curve is a less risky automated system to invest...
  9. Gazillionaire

    Audacity Capital Q&A

    If you believe that, you are a complete idiot. Trading opportunities and thus performance are sporadic. 4% a day and 0% next day is normal. Only stupid back testers try to achieve a slow/smooth equity curve by optimization and think that is the right/safer way. Experienced traders gauge daily...
  10. Gazillionaire

    Audacity Capital Q&A

    Does Audacity offer indices trading? Also, can profits withdrawal and monthly fee payment be done with PayPal? Just passed a trial test within ONE day with a prop firm. Interesting business model asking people to pay a fee first to make money for them. I asked if fee payment could be...
  11. Gazillionaire

    Risk for $500k+ assets in single brokerage account?

    Senior broker tells junior the truth about what advice to give to clients.
  12. Gazillionaire

    Will EUR/AUD go lower?

    I recalled Usd/jpy like all jpy pairs went in the same direction as indices though it was less volatile. The three most volatile were Nzd/jpy, Aud/jpy and Gbp/jpy. Gbp/chf decline was big too but not as much as Gbp/jpy which meant chf was about 3rd in strength ranking compared to usd(no.2) and...
  13. Gazillionaire

    Will EUR/AUD go lower?

    Stagflation is more confusing than 2008 crisis (where risk on/off forex pair like jpy pairs move in same direction as indices).
  14. Gazillionaire

    Will EUR/AUD go lower?

    Why is Cad getting weaker than Aud? Aluminum have more global influence than oil?
  15. Gazillionaire

    Will EUR/AUD go lower?

  16. Gazillionaire

    Will EUR/AUD go lower?

    Does forex Aud/Cad follow gold/oil? Apparently not.
  17. Gazillionaire

    Will EUR/AUD go lower?

    Why is silver still so stagnated?
  18. Gazillionaire

    Will EUR/AUD go lower?

    Nzd is highly correlated to Aud by itself so if Aud is doing well, Nzd will follow. However, Aud doing better than Cad? I thought Aud is more correlated to gold than oil (which is more for Cad)? Does this mean gold will outperform oil?
  19. Gazillionaire

    Will EUR/AUD go lower?

    Yes, I got it, the stagflation market condition. https://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/the-return-of-stagflation-202203041522
  20. Gazillionaire

    Will EUR/AUD go lower?

    I can understand eur/aud going down. But why are aud/jpy and nzd/usd going up when world indices are declining?
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