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  1. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    Update 0634 CST I just have a few more minutes before the next important time. I'm giving it a window of 0650 to 0700, with 0655 being the probable time.
  2. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    Are you ready to call it a day yet? How have I done so far? You shouldn't have to look at this chart but here it is just in case. Please note that 118 24 is a very important WGSR from 14 Mar 2008, but you certainly did not need to know that to net two back to back trades of at least 6...
  3. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    25 Mar 2008 0428 CST Observations on the hourly ZB chart. No need to go into cycles as they have already occurred for the day. The two levels for today are: 118 17 118 06 Of course, all previously mentioned levels are important as well as we approach them. Just glance at the...
  4. J

    Learning to read Price Action with P&F Charting

    HG, Thank you for this thread. It is easily one of the best and most worthwhile on elitetrader.com JP
  5. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    OK, that is it for me. Absolutely no need to continue today. I don't know how much longer these large range days will last but you should be netting significantly more than usual now during this time period. In the ZB that is. On an embarrassing note (just so you know I'm not getting a big...
  6. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    Title: Why I Gave You A License to Print Money Today So, how should you have used my posted commentary above (posted well in advance of the market open) to make money today for at least 2 hours? I've attached a 5 min chart, edited to remove various Angle lines, leaving only those levels I...
  7. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    Continued Here are the times for today based on a shorter time frame, i.e. 1 - 5 min chart analysis. 0404, 0604, 0804, 1004 and 1204 Watch carefully what happens at each level. So, for example, for the 0404 time, draw a horizontal line at either 120 18 or 120 19. Either one is fine...
  8. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    24 Mar 2008 0423 CST 0630 CST will be an important time today based on an hourly chart. Watch this time carefully. Price levels of 120 12 and 119 21 are it for now. Of course keep track of all levels mentioned so far. Cycle length of 11 hours. Please note that I'm not saying a lot...
  9. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    Sunday 23 Mar 2008 0133 hrs GLD GLD is completely below my bottom channel line of 95. I would stay far away from GLD for 3 - 5 more trading days. Possible targets of 88.73 and 86.00. A very outside target of 77.96 is possible. I'm not saying these targets are possible in 3 - 5 days. I'm...
  10. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    The method I'll use for posting the cycles will be very simple and not like the method from 2007 where I posted times that were based on neural network analysis. The method is a very simple variation of many different market geometry techniques. If you have no idea what market geometry is...
  11. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    Saturday 22 Mar 2008 2221 CST I've been thinking a lot about MoveTimer's method over the last several months. Probably at least as long as I started reading his thread. The thing he helped me with is to realize that calling a cycle high or cycle low really isn't important. It is more...
  12. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    Saturday 22 Mar 2008 0855 CST This won't be long. I'm documenting an observation I made during my studies of the ZB. I've spent several hours going through this month's ZB 5 min bar chart. I broke out some of my market geometry books as a reference and began looking at a rather quick and...
  13. J

    Do Trendlines work?

    Absolutely beautiful work. No one believes this stuff, but that's OK for us! Have you studied Jenkins work?
  14. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    For some reason 120 28 is marked versus the correct 120 26. Here is the corrected chart. Two important points. 120 12 which I emphasized is really the only number you needed to have 3 very successful trades today. Another point is that on the 0824 5 min bar price NEVER made it to the 50%...
  15. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    On a much more profitable note, let's see how the published ZB price levels did today.
  16. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    Rashid, Thanks for your observations. My SKF is a terrible example of how to trade. The only thing I did right was to lighten the load by half per my earlier post. I'm pretty happy I got out of GLD where I posted! John
  17. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    I've been watching SKF on the side as a secondary interest today. The 5 minute looks terrible. 115 even is the bottom of my Peak / Valley channel. If it can't hold that, then I will continue to wait, probably until next week sometime.
  18. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    Not that it matters now, but 120 12 has been a significant number on my hourly chart. The 4 mentioned previously were derived from a shorter time frame. I'm making an educated guess that 120 12 is more important than 120 08 and that a sustained move below 120 12 would lead to a net 6 - 8...
  19. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    Look at the 0810 1 min bar. Why did we stop there on the low print for that bar?
  20. J

    Bond Trader 2008 (Swing Trading Bond futures, Stocks, and ETF's)

    Look at the 0759 1 min bar. Where did the rally fail?
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