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  1. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    I understand. Funny how we're looking at some of the same things -- I like how you think!
  2. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    I noted this too. But given my position was established under 4000, strong conditions, and I'm playing an intermediate-term long play, I'm holding. I know we can pullback with September seasonality.
  3. formikatrading

    Get Long Now

    Nice back test of the channel break.
  4. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    I'm sure it will change a bit after this past week but part of the "craft" of using sentiment is looking at the overall picture and it's been pretty bearish. It's not a precise timing tool.
  5. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    That is what I meant. Meaning, "we" can't be too bullish as traders when this is going on.
  6. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Definitely agree. This is where I was going with the "4D" analysis -- you have to be looking at the market in a way that allows you to see what really is going on.
  7. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Hard to be too bullish with this (AAII):
  8. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    I was just noting that a pull-back to 4025 area isn't out of the question. @schizo -- i guess that's what I get for just putting that out there. It was just a component of my analysis (not the entire analysis) but the reason for doing it is that I have found that there are other indicators...
  9. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Well, I probably over-simplified and this was just one of other components. But keep in mind the indicators you see on the chart are NOT indicators on price action.
  10. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Just to give you a basic example, this is one of the things I was looking at this past week. By the way, the indicators you see are NOT based on S&P500, they are based on something else and I just overlay the S&P500 on this chart. But even looking at the S&P 500, you could tell that the 3900...
  11. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Sorry -- didn't mean to be so cryptic. This isn't a criticism -- just that, for me, the monthly / weekly closes that B1S2 uses is pretty much in the 2D category. That being said, from what I can tell, B1S2 is successful using them. But you're not going to catch all the turning points with...
  12. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    2D analysis is your basic market analysis, most of which is publicly available. 4D analysis is where you have done enough deep work and research where you can see the market in unique ways, and being able to do that may also depend on the way a person's brain works and processes information. A...
  13. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    This definitely goes back to my comment on 2D vs. 4D analysis. But the reality is that you can still make money and be a good trader with only a 2D perspective if you have great discipline. We're all going to look at the market a little differently with different approaches, time frames and...
  14. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Laissez Faire spittin' out some wisdom!
  15. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Yes -- what is known or fathomable isn't of any value. As you pointed out, this week was a clear sign that the market was no longer going down on hawkish speak from the Fed. Even in the technical space, though, most folks are analyzing the markets in 2D -- which includes most of the folks in...
  16. formikatrading

    Get Long Now

    Yes -- lots of charts here too. I'm staying long. Good luck!
  17. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    My sources say this is a major move up.
  18. formikatrading

    Get Long Now

    Yes you did. Good job reading the tape. I did the same for similar reasons but also combined my read on market conditions (which are way better than the June / July lows).
  19. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Gotta love it when it comes together.
  20. formikatrading

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Today should be telling -- if we get follow-thru. The action of crypto is suggesting Risk-On -- let's see how we finish.
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