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You mean the same pos chart I have been trashing for several pages now? Where is your reply to my post? And please no bullshit excuses about how it isn't worth your time blah blah.

I had to take philosophy in HS and college, and I can't remember much about epistemology... but enough to get your point. After re-reading my second point I didn't make it clearly. I was not implying that this evidence has already been uncovered, just that it MAY be. Based only on the vast...

Source?

I don't understand your last sentence, but i think u are saying paying off debt is deleveraging? I may have missed it but what asset exactly is this money being printed against? Or are you referring to private companies, in which case I get it.

Ok, that is pretty much splitting hairs though. For example what do we actually KNOW? I know when I am hungry, thirsty etc, aside from that nothing is 100% certain. But the temp example is, as u said, as close to certainty as possible. This sentence "There have been many facts in the...

Yes it is. It is a fact that the earth has a temp, it is a fact that it always has, and that as long as it exists it will have a temp. Every other body in the universe also has one, with the exception possibly of black holes, which are kinda the opposite of the rest.

1) I believe you and take your word for it, as it is rational to me. The motion example you gave is also interesting, I didn't know that. 2a) I agree with this as well. 2b) Disagree here, where is the evidence of useful forecasts? I am completely serious, if they are so accurate then...

OK I concede. I think that if I modify it slightly to say "the future cannot be predicted with absolute certainty", then it is indisputable. I disagree with what you are implying (I think), that predicting day and night, or even that a structure will hold is the same as predicting climate...

Many of the scientists that believe in global warming are subsidized by govts and the UN, same point u made about big oil. The movement is politicized which is why u assume I've simply agreed with the party I prefer. The reality is there is no definitive proof of anthropogenic (???) global...

I am not pretending to be a scientist like BigDAve. These are not opinions at all, just objections from a lay man concerning the statistical relevance of the chart posted earlier in the thread. I think that .00001% of all the existing data is not enough to draw any type of predictions or...

I don't have one smartass. Just objections to your "proof". So go ahead and clarify and I will believe u.

Is there something wrong with u? I really don't give a fuck about this guys opinion. The majority of the planet believes in an almighty being, the majority of the planet believed the Earth was flat, the majority of the planet believed the universe revolved around us. Science proved them...

I agree with your statement, and hope u aren't referring to me. I did not "choose" any belief. Those stats are not proof, are not relevant, and don't answer my original questions. If they were/did I would accept them.

Yep it is. I know over a dozen profitable traders and have sat right next to some of them, 5 of which have had multiple 7 fig years and none of them can predict the future. They may try but their trading isn't based on it. Here's a clue: NO ONE CAN PREDICT THE FUTURE. No. One. I think...

1a) Actually, I didn't. Please re-read my post. I said that u do not have enough data for a relevant sample, and the 4.5 bil years is the estimated age of the Sun, not an arbitrary number. Since I was referring to TSI from your link then u can see how it is relevant to the point I am trying...

I didn't mention any proportions to make a forecast. I simply said that u are using an INSIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF DATA (%wise) from the entire population which we know exists, but hasn't been recorded. In other words you are basing your entire prediction only on what u have and not all the...

Thanks Captain.

We could have just had that time in '08. The banks should have not been bailed out, then u would have seen a real transfer of wealth, if we were still a capitalist economy. I really don't give a fuck about the alleged consequences, there would have been those positioned to pick up the pieces...

OK so 400 years out of 4.5 billion is a relevant sample? Not to mention that 400 years is generous at best as the actual measurements only began in 1978 and the rest is from a computer model...LOL. Also, again think of the factors involved that are missing or simply misunderstood. As an...

No offense but that is exactly what I was referring to when I said the data does not reach far enough back in time. Whoever wrote this is using data that reaches back to the 1600's, WTF? That is simply not a relevant amount of time. He is also using two data sets that have an "overlapping...