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  1. R1234

    California Population Growth Lowest In History

    At least CA population still growing albeit at a slower rate. NY state population is actually declining, about to lose 2 seats in Congress as a result.
  2. R1234

    China Default Thread

    offtopic: stare at dest's chart on your phone. I swear it looks 3-D
  3. R1234

    Vectorized backtesting with pandas

    Gotta vectorize. I did an initial backtest in Python with lots of large dataframes using looping. That took almost an hour to complete. Then I vectorized everything and it ran in 4 minutes.
  4. R1234

    Is trading really hard work?

    Every trader is different but for me the trading part takes up about 60 to 90 minutes total per day - it consists of entering the trades generated by my systems. The hard (and way more interesting) part is where I spend most of my day backtesting and building out new systems. The hardest part...
  5. R1234

    How the CME’s New Micro E-Mini Futures Might Work to Your Advantage

    If that is truly all-in (including exchange fees) then that is very interesting.
  6. R1234

    Larry Williams still in the ring...

    not more than 10% peak to valley on a daily basis
  7. R1234

    Anybody making money from collective2 ?

    From what I've seen, the majority of subscribers at C2 have a gambler's mentality where they chase the hot systems that have made mega returns. Then the mega drawdown happens and they all exit at the bottom. Quite the comedy show. There's not much of a subscriber base there for decent systems...
  8. R1234

    All market gains since 1993 have occurred after hours

    Holding equity markets in the night session does produce positive returns over a several year period. But after commissions and high trading volume it tends to generate single digit annualized returns with an unexciting sharpe, not to mention tail events like the overnight flash crash in August...
  9. R1234

    GDP down to 2.2% this quarter

    GDP growth has managed to stay above zero these past 3 years because of Trump (despite all his faults). Had the 2016 election gone the other way you can bet we'd be close to zero or negative by now. If Dems win next year you can say 'bye-bye' to growth mindset (aka deep and prolonged recession)...
  10. R1234

    Selling subscription as IB

    You can also manage client accounts as a CTA. It would probably make more money than the IB+subscription idea.
  11. R1234

    What kind of R^2 (or other metrics) do you see for your ML algos?

    Not super high as one might assume given that r^2. It varies by system with a range of 50% to 65%.
  12. R1234

    What kind of R^2 (or other metrics) do you see for your ML algos?

    Not ML but i aim for greater than 0.9. The more reversion systems the higher the r^2
  13. R1234

    ES/NQ Trading - looking for solutions

    One tenth size micro contracts are available to trade at CME in a couple of months. Can take risks without too much consequences.
  14. R1234

    IB Blank Account Window

    I did contact IB. Anybody else having this problem??
  15. R1234

    IB Blank Account Window

    Am I the only one that has been experiencing this? Since yesterday, every time I log in it appears blank.
  16. R1234

    Dividend Income ETFs ??

    I've backtested things like that where I hold something like PFF and hedge with an inverse ETF. For whatever reason that strategy looks like crap. If I get time I will upload a screenshot.
  17. R1234

    What do you guys use to backtest a strategy?

    Mostly excel nowadays
  18. R1234

    Windows 10 - Awful Performance and UX - spin spin spin...

    Generally I like Windows 10. I have it running on my powerful desktop. But there are still many memory glitches. For example sometimes I cannot close my ThinkOrSwim by clicking the red 'X'. I have to do ctrl+alt+delete and kill it through task manager. Same for IB TWS. Copy/paste across...
  19. R1234

    Does anyone trade to profit from contango?

    Its a common strategy. Get a trial subscription to Clenow and look at his term structure model.
  20. R1234

    In praise of SQLite

    SQLite user here. I agree - very lightweight/fast/stable. I use it linked up to Python.
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