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Last but not least, I've changed stripes in the currency pair USD vs CAD, I had it on neutral after the long setup would have resulted in the stop loss being triggered if one had invested in my failed long setup. The chart shows USDCAD on a monthly basis, it currently trades @ 1.2319 . I do...

The short setup on Imperial Brands (ISIN : GB0004544929) is no longer valid, the risk / reward ratio has become bad. "IMB" on tradingview, it currently trades @ 1,600 pence and I don't think the share price will drop below 1,200 again.

Big single stock idea - British Petroleum ("BP." on tradingview) as a strong buy. Currently trading @ 321.50 pence, I see a yearly share increase of around 10% until 2026 + the dividend (currently yielding around 4.6 %). The timeframe on the shown chart is monthly, I interpret this as a clear...

Very interesting situation in the nearest Lumber futures contract (LBS1! on tradingview), the price has lost more than 50% of its value in a very short timeframe. I think it has now hit close to bottom and will continue its price climb in what I consider a long term upward trend. It currently...

Does Stan "The man" Druckenmiller have an educated guess about which of the FAANG stocks (he does include an M like Microsoft (MSFT) ) could hit a market cap of five trillion US$ ? "My #1 would be Amazon, #2 Microsoft". Interview from 06/28/2021 ->

Long setup in the closely watched currency pair Euro vs US$ (EURUSD), clear upward trend on a monthly basis. I think it might rally to 1.35 (currently trading @ 1.2260), SL I'd place @ 1.1800 .

... update on the Bitcoin (BTCUSD) short setup I posted a few hours ago, it now has dropped 4,000 US$ in this short timeframe -> more than 50% from its ATH a few days ago. This reminds me of the popping of the tech bubble in early 2000. I lower the price target on this potential short...

As of now, the chart for the cryptocurrency Bitcoin looks awful (for a potential buyer) and wonderful for a potential shortseller who profits from a falling price. The price as of now is 39,218 US$ (source : tradingview), it has now closed below the EMA34 since March of 2020. I believe it can...

I think Tesla's bull run is over, and that this great but very highly priced company will see its share price collapse to around 150 - 200 US$ (market cap of around 150 - 200 billion US$) in the next two years. The bearish scenario I presented on page 18 is thus still valid despite the share...

Ouch, the most recent long setups I posted in currencies are not valid anymore, both would have to be closed (if not closed already) at a loss. However, the palladium setup would have worked out very well, I raise the price target to 3,500 US$ . Stanley Druckenmiller got it right again in...

... and I am a bull now for the currency pair Euro vs Canadian Dollar (EURCAD). I think it could run up to 1.58 from here, it currently trades @ 1.4990 . SL should be around 1.4700 .

I'm bullish for the currency pair US$ vs CHF (USDCHF on tradingview), it's currently trading @ around 0.9400 . I think parity, around 1.00, may be in the cards until 2022. This pair has a positive swap - you earn a little interest income daily right now, here's another good website that...

Larry McDonald saw his wealth, largely tied to Lehman Brothers stock, evaporate when his employer went bankrupt in 2008. He has bounced back, "A collosal failure", his recount of what led to this century's biggest bankruptcy, has sold well and here he gives an outlook on various markets. I...

There are numerous websites that collect data from 13-F filings (demanded by the SEC from investment partnerhsips with > 100 million US$ in AUM, certain securities are not required for reporting) in order to give insight into the stock holdings of alpha generating fund managers aka the few star...

Back to trading / potential investment ideas. The company I today present is Altria (ticker symbol MO, ISIN : US02209S1033), it's currently yielding 7.6% per year and looks very strong technically. I think its share price will reach its all-time high again within the next 6 years and thus...

Market conditions in any underlying you can bet on may change any time. A stock is in a clear uptrend (new all-time high e.g.) and the minute you've purchased shares, the share price goes into free fall. There's also no 100% universally defined rule on what exactly defines a trend. Most...

I've done the calculation on the S&P 500 for the timespan 01/1900 - 01/2021 with dividends reinvested, and the return would have been slightly below 10%. This means, had a low cost index fund on this index been available in 1900 (the first one was actually introduced to the public in 1975...

Tesla part II . Why may it be a good buy at around 200 U$ ? Simply because Cathy Wood has developed three scenarios for the price in 2024 - 3 years from now on, note however that the share price in the graphic are pre-split, thus the prices displayed have to be divided by 5. Another words, the...

Tesla (ticker TSLA, ISIN US88160R1014) has seen a massive increase in its share price post ipo (took place 2010). ARK Investments founder Cathy Wood, Ron Baron and some others are extremely bullish on this company, partly because they've built up big stakes in it and of course profit from a...

Speaking of edges as a potential private investor who does not nor will ever access to insider knowledge - the only guarantee of returns (far) above average market returns - most of us are probably not mathematically gifted nor able enough to analyze company's balance sheets (party due to time...