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  1. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    From Mr. Kingyppo, man pretty good rally, zb still quite elevated any thoughts on this? ********************** I sure dont know. It is hard to be optimistic about a continued rally with yeilds so low. There is so much selectivity in the equity market to embrace a slightly...
  2. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    The call for AAPL and the fed being the main catalyst/drivers for the week were balls dead on by Maverick. I read much in this thread about using an event , any time, any day, in this case maybe 4pm Tues to 2:30 pm Wed as opening range ACD levels. Everone probably does this anyway but...
  3. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    In a nutshell this is a way to scan for some ACD levels . Maverick and Quon were posting that Aups or Adowns also approaching /breaching a 3 period MA of the weekly pivot may be a good tool to have. The scan below does just that. If anyone is interested. Cut and paste the code for this scan...
  4. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    Nice ideas. Working on calculating last weeks pivot range lines and AUPS and ADOWNS with the opening range .25 of the weekly ATR. Here are some numbers below. Im going to try screening for long/short candidates. XLE Pivot from last week 69.04 high line...
  5. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    The consensus seems to be the Bank of Japan will begin easing again. (didnt they just stop?) The decision is Friday. JPY has spent some time around the .012350 level ( from a couple weeks ago) after quite a run-up. Thinking of selling it here. A couple days of global risk-on into...
  6. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/04/19/counterparties-spanish-bond-yields-relief/ This info is everywhere and most is well known. Click on the "bad loans" link. That is interesting. It will matter when it matters I guess. EWP and Spanish banks are grinding down each day.
  7. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    Thanks Makerick, thats good stuff. It looks to me like an unusual -4 day for QQQ/NQ . A good AUP that traded back to the opening range, but not through it. Reversed to make HH and then trade down through the opening range to make a late day C_DOWN but finished well off the low.
  8. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    From Shanb Here's an interesting video I came across. Legendary trader Charles DiFrancesca talking about Spread Trading! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QT0c...&feature=relmfu _______________ I watched the 9 parts series and enjoyed it. Thanks again. Could I get some clarification on...
  9. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    Allow me to add that the criterea for relative strength is applied only to find the highest RS for the long candidates highly correlated to SWC. My correlation criterea is direction only . ie: SPY and UPRO correlate 100% yet UPRO has 3x volatility/atr etc... I remember Maverick...
  10. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    Quote from Trader13 Thanks for presenting this spread scenario. I understand the value of correlation for hedging, but why would you qualify your spread candidates using correlation as a filter? If you are trading the trend of the spread ("spread increases"), and you are looking for...
  11. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    Thank you , Shan.
  12. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    Thanks for posting the youtube videos Quon. SWC correlates high with the Australian dollar and market EWA,FXA It is at least 80% positively correlated for the last 100 days with CF TX PKX RIO MSB GORO NOR TRS LNN CNH MTW CAT The above stocks all...
  13. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    The time and effort that you give is appreciated Maverick. Good bunch here. I could write volumes about my difficulties over 17 years with trading but I wont. Must say I am a working stiff, not a trader, so time/experience means very little compared to the intensity and pressure of...
  14. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    Quote from Maverick74: Yeah, if you want to buy volatility, buy Bonds! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- bump. +1 as they say on this site. Where is the downside to that trade since last summer? Volatility had to be sold after...
  15. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    I wonder if QE3 is already baked in to a large degree because it has been "out there" for so long. It may become common QE6,7 etc.. as each time it is different. "Non-infationary, sterilized, repo" google these as I dont understand them . But the market is definitely not shrugging off the...
  16. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-09/japan-stock-futures-little-changed-ahead-of-boj-decision.html Mr. Maverick has probably been all over the above for the last 10 days. Price action seems my only course as I just see this now in regards to JPY. I interpret ES action today as an...
  17. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    Thanks King. The black lung comment may be due to the Australia trade deficit in the news tonight....coal shipments to China down which is dragging down Aisa overnight. I am using Globex open 5PM as OR (1409 high)with the above news and No QE3 and Europe week as Spain creeps into...
  18. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-02/treasuries-fall-before-factory-employment-reports-this-w.html ZN reversed sharply today on this fed action today. It will be interesting to watch ZN when the fed is done in a couple days. Maybe along with a tepid 205,000 jobs report. (Get it out...
  19. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    King, A case could be made that bond yeilds can be grouped with the other risk assets. Periods of financial crises, recession, defalation seem to cause bond yeilds to tumle with commodities etc.. Governments / central banks re-inflates and yeilds rise...
  20. eurusdzn

    2.25 % 10 year

    I didnt take that trade at 130ish on the 10 year , ZN , ( I did see it) mostly because I have seen the bond market doing what the fed wants and bidding bonds as we have climbed to ES , 140. I have little experince watching the 10 year on a daily basis and wondered if the fed could contain...
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