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  1. R

    Is volume overrated?...

    Price probes, but volume pushes.
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    Hindenburg Omen - Aug 12

    I just did some research on the hidenberg omen. One occurance of the event in a 36 day period only predicts a 2.7% down move, which I'd say lies within the average volatility of the market anyway. It's an interesting way to look at the market though. Markets do not usually have a large number...
  3. R

    Hindenburg Omen - Aug 12

    What is the hindenburg omen. Is it a chart pattern? Can you explain in more detail?
  4. R

    The Last Rule Of Successful Trading

    Hope is the greatest enemy of any trader.
  5. R

    How can I get over fear of making big profits?

    Never confuse a fear or making big profits with actually being a bad trader.
  6. R

    The US is bankrupt

    While China is the largest holder on US debt, a significant proportion of US government debt is held by US citizens in the form of US treasuries through retirement funds and the like. So a lot of US citizens would be hurt if the US defaulted. And of course the world economy would collapse...
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    The US is bankrupt

    It's not often you see articles like this in the mainstream press. That in itself I found interesting. http://www.theage.com.au/business/us-is-bankrupt-and-we-dont-even-know-it-20100812-12056.html
  8. R

    Futures trading and huge orders

    Yeah it appears to be flipper like behaviour but I'm pretty sure there are other large trading groups that have adopted the flippers approach to make money. If you happy to make 3 or 4 points on a 1000 contract position, its a great technique. To be honest, big traders have been painting...
  9. R

    Reagan insider: 'GOP destroyed U.S. economy'

    From a military perspective, the US is very much like ancient Rome before it fell. It's supply lines are over extended.
  10. R

    The Meaning of A Trading Edge

    Long enough is enough time to form a hypothisis about it. Test your hypothisis. Prove it's statistically valid and trade it before it disappears. I was taking to a currency trader recently who trades 8 automated systems across all major currency pairs. He claims his systems have an average...
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    The Meaning of A Trading Edge

    A trading edge is the identification of prolonged statistical anomaly in the market - a certain behavior that repeats itself for long enough to be exploited for a profit. Traders often make the mistake of thinking an edge is a certain skill the trader has. It is not. An edge is based on...
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    Working with system developers

    First things first. You need to get any programmer to sign a 'non-use and non-disclosure' agreement before discussing anything with them. You can find templates for this type of agreement on the web. This agreement needs to state that you are the owner of the proprietary information and that...
  13. R

    Has anyone else noticed this March - July 2010 daily chart pattern?

    The market is clearly at a juncture. The next move is going to be big. Whether it is up or down.
  14. R

    More on APS and out_of_sample testing

    GoodGoing, your work is interesting. I'm just wondering if you have back tested the results using no stop and no target, just the price on close as your exist. I'm curious to know if the system is still profitable under these conditions. cheers, Runningbear
  15. R

    Weekly Poll: SPY Is Stuck at 110

    Trading Journals, what you are suggesting is exactly what happens in a deflationary spiral. Because people have negative views about the long term economy and asset prices, they stop spending and they become more frugal. They refuse to buy assets with borrowings because they know that what they...
  16. R

    iPhone4 antenna worse than expected

    If you have a plastic cover, it doesn't really make that much difference and 99% of people use covers.
  17. R

    World War 3 is it coming?

    18 pages of garbage and not one person has pointed out the fact that America is already at war. The Iraq War has so far cost 3 trillion dollars and it is the very reason the country is stuffed. If US government spent that money on infastructure projects in the US, unemployment would be 4%...
  18. R

    Why'd the Dow rise since April09 again? US economy still in $!?&

    With interest rates so low in the US, some believe that its better to be in stock and get dividends than hold cash an get virtually no return.
  19. R

    Weekly Poll: Market Is Flat Year-To-Date, Where To Next?

    Maybe the full moon has something to do with the buying. Or maybe not.:eek:
  20. R

    Hardest and Most Valuable Things In Trading

    The things that I continually struggle with are. 1. Ignoring counter trades that goes against the trend. Even when they look profitable. 2. Chasing the market for an entry when it is moving rather than waiting for a pullback to enter. 3. Not cutting loses fast enough. 4. Taking...
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