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I did watch it, and what you describe is exactly what I thought before watching, the natgas market has certainly been crazy enough lately. But in the video he claims to have done non-retail location arbitrage, etc. at a professional firm whose money he was trading. So the weird part is how his...

100% success rate? Dude, you're in the wrong business.

You know what 'wildchild' is actually implying right? He either implying a) that Ukraine is sufficiently Nazi that sending weapons to let it defend itself is an equivalence to 'arming Nazis', and that arming Ukraine should stop for that reason. Which is why Russian propagandists are so keen to...

Oh yeah dude, and I am Jesus Christ. Might have something to do with your post history. In fact, I would have mistaken you for a Nazi based on your posts at times. So it's mildly amusing you are projecting it on Biden (who I could care less about, the US needs new leadership, not 70-80 year old...

Nice explanation, the OP in question is totally irreceptive to logical reasoning though.

Oh for sure, Japan has historical guilt, no doubt, as does the USA. But whataboutism is not an argument.

Yup, this is what the US (and by extension its allies) are dealing with. Xi is just a more sophisticated version of Mao and insanely more powerful.

B&H is great if you enter the workforce at the right time and die at the right time!

My view from reading about similar cases over the years: These firms generally have no interest in people passing the evaluation stage, the business model is to have prospective traders repeatedly pay for evaluations they cannot pass. This is because someone that did pass most likely did so at...

Not terribly interested in this so I will just leave it here for you to continue your search: A note today for a certain Swedish mobile co claims the drop is because Amazon is planning to offer mobile subscriptions associated with their Prime service.

You're incredibly suspectible to propaganda with that approach. There are a lots of things that can happen in any context, an endless number of possibilities. A fraction of them actually do. Imagining something without evidence is not the same as it being real, which is how we have arrived at...

Don't think it's likely at all given what Trump said about Ukraine and how to make peace over there. It would certainly be super interesting if it did happen.

Memorable stuff I did: Putting $10k into a ~250x leverage instrument (translation mini warrant or certificate or something like that) which went to zero within seconds... without much of a strategy at all (I had some vague idea that it would be 'easy' to make huge money if only I got the entry...

1. At a minimum you need to know if your profit expectancy (as a function of win rate and size of wins and losses) is positive, that does not necessarily involve any math but you need to know the equation and understand its implications. It's very simple but some people posting over the years...

It's easy to laugh at this but it's f*cking scary how one can be that stupid in the year 2023, and how that came to be.

Watched a documentary on this organization. Seems like good people, if a bit vain. Enormous numbers of hot chicks, had I lived in the US and been a bit younger I would have joined for that reason. :D

Yeah the only chance to stay in that business is to master the tools (in this case AI). It's like, you can draw a computer image pixel by pixel (and a few do for their idea of a "fun" pastime), but there's no way in hell you can compete doing that. The figure I stated goes for making an...

Yes you are. :p My original post was obscure, but I guess I hitched on the theme of the first reply. The key point is that the most straightforward way is to look up past realized vol and assume future vol is going to be correlated, but you can get a more refined estimate of future vol such as...

They can. I think they will make entire games pretty soon. Note: I'm a professional game dev, but the future of this occupation looks pretty bleak to me. At the very least you can cut 95% of the workforce in let's say the next decade.

Which is why you make composite indicators (or if lazy like me use someone else's). A well known example not in the stock but index space would be VIX.