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The neural-nets they use are pretty neat. The trend models I use are based on similar theories.

do you ever tire of being wrong?

hey-now : i get a few days to reflect... ;)

That's the thing though: markets evolve. The "average" trader is no-longer average. All of this complaining is from people's edges/trading styles not working anymore.

Na, no pro. I work(read: talk shop) with a few like-minded guys and trade on-the-side. I'd call it a hobby but hobbies cost money. Passion for trading, macro economics and computer science.(combinatorial optimization) :)

We update models over the weekend. From the last build we're expecting a retracement for a few percent, but only after a move higher. Net-Net, we'll be up a few percent by the end of November. One thing that the models keep showing is that there is a rising chance for a sharp move higher in...

I do appreciate everyone keeping this thread free of clutter for the duration of the call. I'd like to open discussion up as to why we are currently headed higher, and when we'll take a pause. Please spare the tin-foil hat bullshit about everything being manipulated. If you think markets...

It's not a sprint, it's a marathon. :) We're going to re-run the models over the weekend, though since I wrote them, I fully expect them to show a few gaps up after some retracement in the next 4-6 weeks. I don't expect the bearish-bias to wain until 1230-1250.

Hi boys. Let me know if you want me to bump my 1200 call from 1Q this year. Or my precursor call from 3 weeks ago that had a 2-week horizon... My models are getting better and better over time, and I have to say, the amount of pessimism on this board only added to the conviction of...

Sounds like you're trying to convince yourself more than us. Don't forget about my calls over the past 3 weeks.... ;) Let me know if you want me to bump the threads.

LOL.

Free houses for all! What really worries me is that it's understood that laws were broken and fraud was committed. Will they change the laws just because it is SO pervasive? (i.e. will the tail wag the dog?)

They didn't mislead at all. Read other articles about what the situation is instead of some sensationalistic headline.

QFT. The only people bitching are arm-chair pikers.

everyone must be wrong except the people that think qe2 is bad.

You do realize that most companies these days run a credit check as part of the hiring process, right?

Yes. Always have.

the hardest hit would be HFTs, which arguably provide little to no benefit to the market anyway. (their liquidity dries up in milliseconds when their conditions aren't met so they are useless as MMs.)

/thread

i don't day-trade - all my systems swing.